. (2018). Reliability optimization for series systems under uncertain component failure rates in the design phase. International Journal of Production Economics, 196(2), 163-175. DOI: 10.1016163-175. DOI: 10. /j.ijpe.2017 General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.• Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research.• You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain • You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal ?
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AbstractWe develop an optimization model to determine the reliability design of critical components in a serial system. The system is under a service contract, and a penalty cost has to be paid by the OEM when the total system down time exceeds a predetermined level, which complicates the evaluation of the expected cost under a given reliability design. Furthermore, in the design phase for each critical component, all possible designs are subject to uncertain component failure rates. Considering the computational intractability of evaluating the system performance, we develop approximate evaluation methods which take the system uncertainty into account. Numerical results show that the method which includes randomness in the number of failures, failure rates and repair times leads to efficient and accurate evaluations and to close-to-optimal design decisions when used in an enumeration procedure for the optimization problem. We also show that ignoring these three types of uncertainty may result in bad design decisions.