The Role and Use of Mathematical Programming in Agricultural, Natural Resource, and Climate Change Analysis

Fei, Chengcheng J.; McCarl, Bruce A.

doi:10.1146/annurev-resource-101422-041745

Cited by 5 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 104 publications

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“…However, the impacts of climate change and extreme weather are not uniform across the globe, and the risks and feasible adaptations vary across regions. Although mitigation and adaptation are common issues faced by the citizens of the planet, the spatial diversity of the climate disasters faced by farmers is unevenly distributed [14][15][16][17][18], and farmers' adaptation measures and capabilities are also uneven [19][20][21].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Chen,

Jan,

Chung

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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This study investigated the agriculture risks and opportunities in a fragile watershed, the Lanyang River Watershed (LRW) in Northeastern Taiwan, under the current situation of climate change. Agriculture in the LRW is a traditional sector, highly vulnerable to climate change, and is a declining economic sector due to the trend of trade liberalization of agriculture. At present, the government of Taiwan encourages local farmers to transform towards recreational farm types. Leisure agriculture operators have successfully transitioned their tilling to a business model of recreational farming. A telephone survey of leisure agriculture operators was applied with a three-stage approach to obtain their opinions. The results showed that climate change may entail risks for agriculture in watersheds. Transformation to leisure agriculture can enhance farm adaptation and increase farm income. The long-term implementation of slope- and geology-based land classification and land use planning can protect the watershed, especially from extreme weather, while enhancing water and soil conservation efforts, and bolstering climate resilience. Innovative agricultural practices offer viable solutions, including greenhouse farming for high-economic-value crops, leisure agriculture, organic farming, and ecotourism. These strategies can rejuvenate the LRW’s agriculture industry, foster ecological tourism, and provide opportunities for traditional farmers to thrive in this highly climate-fragile area. The implications of this case study are that appropriate responses can improve local climate resilience, and that correspondingly well-designed adaptation measures can transform threats and risks into new opportunities.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Chen,

Jan,

Chung

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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Agricultural land use modeling and climate change adaptation: A reinforcement learning approach

Stetter,

Huber,

Finger

2024

Applied Eco Perspectives Pol

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This paper provides a novel approach to integrate farmers' behavior in spatially explicit agricultural land use modeling to investigate climate change adaptation strategies. More specifically, we develop and apply a computationally efficient machine learning approach based on reinforcement learning to simulate the adoption of agroforestry practices. Using data from an economic experiment with crop farmers in Southeast Germany, our results show that a change in climate, market, and policy conditions shifts the spatial distribution of the uptake of agroforestry systems. Our modeling approach can be used to advance currently used models for ex ante policy analysis by upscaling existing knowledge about farmers behavioral characteristics and combine it with spatially explicit environmental and farm structural data. The approach presents a potential solution for researchers who aim to upscale information, potentially enriching and complementing existing land use modeling approaches.

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Assessing spatial thermal comfort and adaptation measures for the Antalya basin under climate change scenarios

Isinkaralar,

Sharifi,

Isinkaralar

2024

Climatic Change

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The concrete damages of climate change are intensifying, and adaptation efforts of actors around the world are increasing, especially in coastal regions. Recommending adaptation measures for specific regions and sectors and determining long-term strategies for mitigating global climate change is essential for reducing vulnerability to climate change. This research aims to estimate the changes in climatic parameters and thermal comfort zones to determine concrete targets and offer suggestions for sectors affected by possible changes. The changes that will occur until 2100 in the Antalya basin, which is located in the southernmost part of Türkiye and is a significant hub for agricultural production and tourism, were monitored spatially using Discomfort Index (DI) and Effective Temperature taking wind velocity (ETv). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP): SSP 245 and SSP 585 predict that the quite cool areas prevailing in the area, according to ETv, will shrink by 24% and 46%, respectively, and the prevailing cold areas, according to DI, will shrink by 45% and 56%, respectively. By 2100, 5% of the area, according to SSP 245, and 25%, according to SSP 585, will turn into hot areas and move away from the comfort level. The fact that critical regions are areas with high vitality in terms of coastal tourism shows the need to prioritize adaptation policies. These discoveries are discussed in the context of critical issues such as water scarcity and food security, contributing to policy-making for effective management by suggesting specific adaptation measures.

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The Role and Use of Mathematical Programming in Agricultural, Natural Resource, and Climate Change Analysis

Cited by 5 publications

References 104 publications

Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Agricultural land use modeling and climate change adaptation: A reinforcement learning approach

Assessing spatial thermal comfort and adaptation measures for the Antalya basin under climate change scenarios

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