Physicians and insurers need to weigh the effectiveness of new drugs against existing therapeutics in routine care to make decisions about treatment and formularies. Because Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of most new drugs requires demonstrating efficacy and safety against placebo, there is limited interest by manufacturers in conducting such head-to-head trials. Comparative effectiveness research seeks to provide head-to-head comparisons of treatment outcomes in routine care. Health-care utilization databases record drug use and selected health outcomes for large populations in a timely way and reflect routine care, and therefore may be the preferred data source for comparative effectiveness research. Confounding caused by selective prescribing based on indication, severity, and prognosis threatens the validity of non-randomized database studies that often have limited details on clinical information. Several recent developments may bring the field closer to acceptable validity, including approaches that exploit the concepts of proxy variables using high-dimensional propensity scores, within-patient variation of drug exposure using crossover designs, and between-provider variation in prescribing preference using instrumental variable (IV) analyses.
POST-MARKETING COMPARATIVE EFFECTIVENESS RESEARCH
Lack of evidence on the effectiveness of drugs in routine careClinicians balance benefits and risks of medicines every day. They are taught that randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide the most robust evidence, and so they go to work happily extrapolating evidence from RCTs to their own patient population, believing that their patients will benefit from an equally large effect. Cochrane 1 pointed out some 35 years ago that RCTs on the efficacy of drugs for their regulatory approval study the extent to which an intervention does more good than harm under ideal circumstances ("Can it work?"). Effectiveness, however, assesses whether an intervention does more good than harm when provided under usual circumstances of health-care practice ("Does it work in practice?").Although there is no doubt about the scientific value of RCTs, their findings have often limited utility in daily practice: they may have sample sizes too small or drug doses too low to fully assess the safety of drugs; follow-up may be too short to show long-term benefits; they may under represent or exclude vulnerable patient groups, including elderly patients with multiple comorbidities, children, and young women, and operate in a highly controlled environment that is far from routine clinical practice. These issues are particularly relevant for preapproval trials. As drugs are on the market for a long time, more RCT evidence becomes available that
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Author ManuscriptClin Pharmacol Ther. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2010 July 18.
Published in final edited form as:Clin Pharmacol Ther. Few randomized effectiveness studies compare alternative treatment strategies in large heterogeneous populations, but they oft...