In order to set up a mathematical model suitable for nautical navigational environment risk evaluation and systematically master the navigational environment risk characteristics of the Qiongzhou Strait in a quantitative way, a risk assessment model with approach steps is set up based on the grey fixed weight cluster (GFWC
INTRODUCTION 1.1 Research backgroundMaritime risk is one of the most important focus areas for waterway transportation. Researchers and maritime authorities have been paying special attention to the risky areas where traffic density is high for a long time. The high density and high risk for transportation increase the complexity of navigation safety management [1].Nowadays, lots of theories and models have been developed for maritime risk assessment. The concept of risk management gives risk assessment priority over taking response measures after an accident [2]. Reasonable and effective risk assessment and prediction of vessel traffic system have been studied in depth [3].There is no doubt that it is of great significance to evaluate nautical navigation environment appropriately, which demands enough of the original data, proper theories, and suitable mathematical models, etc. Related studies [4,5] show that the grey clustering decision-making, which is an important component of grey theory, is suitable for cluster analysis in case of a lack of data or object information. Given the above views, a grey fixed weight cluster (GFWC) model with implementation scheme will be established in this paper for comprehensive risk assessment of nautical navigational environment. Whereby: (1) as the fundamental step when carrying out an evaluation work, the evaluation index system is designed to be structured scientifically through literature review and expert investigation, (2) as one of the indispensable components, relative weight of each YANFEI TIAN, Ph.D. candidate 1,2