The running maximum of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with some properties of the Kummer function

Abstract

We derive tail asymptotics for the running maximum of the CoxIngersoll-Ross process. The main result is proved by the saddle point method, where the tail estimate uses a new monotonicity property of the Kummer function. This auxiliary result is established by a computer algebra assisted proof. Moreover, we analyse the coefficients of the eigenfunction expansion of the running maximum distribution asymptotically.