The second nuclear ERA: A nuclear renaissance

Weinberg, Alvin M.; Spiewak, I.; Phung, D.L.; Livingston, Robert S.

doi:10.1016/0360-5442(85)90098-2

Cited by 8 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…Despite this, the two WASH‐1400 figures are regularly cited as evidence of the relative safety of nuclear power and the irrationality of objections to nuclear power. Weinberg et al , ( 14 ) for example, reproduce these two figures as uncontested, even while elsewhere noting, without specifics, that portions of the WASH‐1400 report were withdrawn.…”

Section: Historical Cases: Precision and Disputementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Looking at the underlying data and methods, they reevaluated Starr's figure using assumptions that they considered 2 Although this was not invariably the exclusive focus of the critique. A standard of risk literature; (7) possible impetus for psychometric paradigm (5) (11) Relative safety of energy resources (14) Nuclear and natural gas safer than other power sources, including solar (15,16) Cost per life saved by regulatory intervention (29) Disparity in efficiency of regulatory interventions…”

Section: Technological Risk and Social Benefitmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Despite this, the two WASH-1400 figures are regularly cited as evidence of the relative safety of nuclear power and the irrationality of objections to nuclear power. Weinberg et al, (14) for example, Fig. 6-2 from the WASH-1400 Report.…”

Section: Nuclear Safety and Natural Disasters: Wash-1400 And Risk Assmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Implications of Excessive Precision for Risk Comparisons: Lessons from the Past Four Decades

Hassenzahl¹

2006

Risk Analysis

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This article reviews five published "second-order" risk comparisons from the past four decades that implied precise understanding, and hence clear relationships or orderings, of the underlying risks. "Second order" here refers to efforts that extract information from original sources with the goal of relating diverse findings. All five of these publications have frequently been cited in the peer-reviewed literature and/or in risk regulatory debate in the United States. Each is associated with at least one contemporaneous critique that the findings were excessively precise. None of these critiques suggested that an alternative relationship or ordering of the risks evaluated was more appropriate. Instead, each critique concluded that alternative, contradictory relationships were at least as plausible given data and/or analytical limitations. In one case, the critique led to the withdrawal of the original publication. The original findings have been propagated or used uncritically in subsequent literature, including political support for cost-effectiveness analysis. In other cases, the critiques have been used to discredit quantitative risk analysis in general, especially in the cases of nuclear power and cost-benefit analysis. Both of these outcomes are undesirable. Future risk comparisons should avoid excessive precision, include explicit discussion of uncertainty, and differentiate between plausible estimates and expected values.

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Section: Historical Cases: Precision and Disputementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Technological Risk and Social Benefitmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Implications of Excessive Precision for Risk Comparisons: Lessons from the Past Four Decades

Hassenzahl¹

2006

Risk Analysis

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“…The way to overcome this problem is well known: to replace the thermal reactors by the fast ones using uranium isotope 238 U. There are serious hopes that the fast reactors can solve the problem of RW handling, as well as the safety problem if they will meet the "inherent safety" principle (Weinberg, 1985), i.e. their severe nuclear accident will be excluded by the physics laws.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Molten salt fast reactor with U–Pu fuel cycle

Degtyarev

Myasnikov

Ponomarev

2015

Progress in Nuclear Energy

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“…Several of these reforms are being implemented by the industry with the expectation that the U.S. nuclear program will finally achieve standards of performance rivalling those of West Germany, Japan and Sweden. In combination with recent actions taken by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission to streamline the regulatory process, there are some who now believe that the country is ready to enter a &dquo;Second Nuclear Era&dquo; (Weinberg et al, 1985).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%