Background: The Tokyo 2018 guidelines call for the study of quantitative predictors of surgical difficulty in laparoscopic cholecystectomy for complete cholecystectomy in a safe context.
Objective: To evaluate the cystic duct (CD) dissection time as a predictor of surgical difficulty.
Materials and methods: This prospective study included 193 patients who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy in 2022 and were grouped according to the indication for cholecystectomy: Urgent, Delayed, and Elective. Multiple linear regression and multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to identify the preoperative and operative predictive variables of surgical difficulty. The predictive value of the time spent dissecting the CD was estimated using a ROC curve.
Results: The CD dissection time of 13 min had 100% sensitivity and 99% specificity, PPV 100%, NPV 1%, OR 3.3 to predict the use of bailout techniques.
Conclusions: The time required to dissect the cystic duct, with or without success, is a practical predictor of the subsequent use of bailout procedures and, consequently, predicts the "Risk/Difficult Cholecystectomy".
Keywords: Difficult laparoscopic cholecystectomy, predictors of difficult cholecystectomy, bailout procedures, cystic dissection time, risk of cholecystectomy.