2018
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl077683
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The Seismic Signature of Debris Flows: Flow Mechanics and Early Warning at Montecito, California

Abstract: Debris flows are concentrated slurries of water and sediment that shape the landscape and pose a major hazard to human life and infrastructure. Seismic ground motion‐based observations promise to provide new, remote constraints on debris flow physics, but the lack of data and a theoretical basis for interpreting them hinders progress. Here we present a new mechanistic physical model for the seismic ground motion of debris flows and apply this to the devastating debris flows in Montecito, California on 9 Januar… Show more

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Cited by 85 publications
(201 citation statements)
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References 37 publications
(56 reference statements)
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“…The maximum value of kinetic energy per unit area (58.4 kJ/m 2 ) is correctly associated with the main front of the 2013 debris flow (Figure b), which is a bouldery front characterized by the highest value of flow velocity observed at Gadria so far (Table ). This is consistent with the model proposed by Lai et al (), where the power spectral density of the signal linearly scales with the third power of particle size and flow velocity. Furthermore, the indirect correlation between flow height and amplitude peak of the main front and surge VI of the 2014 debris flow is successfully reproduced (Figures c and d).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 92%
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“…The maximum value of kinetic energy per unit area (58.4 kJ/m 2 ) is correctly associated with the main front of the 2013 debris flow (Figure b), which is a bouldery front characterized by the highest value of flow velocity observed at Gadria so far (Table ). This is consistent with the model proposed by Lai et al (), where the power spectral density of the signal linearly scales with the third power of particle size and flow velocity. Furthermore, the indirect correlation between flow height and amplitude peak of the main front and surge VI of the 2014 debris flow is successfully reproduced (Figures c and d).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 92%
“…Length and mass distribution within a debris flow wave do not change over time scales; consequently, different amplitudes are due to either different front‐receiver distances or different kinetic energy values. The dominance of collisional forces in high‐velocity bouldery fronts can explain this effect, also observed at Montecito, where Lai et al () documented that the power spectral density of the signal scales with the third power of particle size and flow velocity. Focusing on the effect of source‐receiver distance on the signal amplitude, if we consider a single debris flow front with constant emission of seismic energy E s , we can solve equation for u ( t ) as it moves toward a sensor assuming a small time span over which the integrand is constant.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 72%
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“…; Lai et al. ). Both models modify a previous model for the high‐frequency seismic signals caused by bedload transport (Tsai et al.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Sites 1, 2, 4, 6, and 7 were burned at high severity (539 < dNBR < 897), and Sites 3, 5, and 8 were classified as unburned (46 < dNBR < 86). The goal was to collect all samples before any substantial rainfall; however, they were all collected after a historical rainstorm (20 mm in 10 min, Lai, Tsai, Lamb, Ulizio, & Beer, ; 14 mm in 5 min, National Weather Service, ) that caused major debris flow damage in Montecito, California, on January 9, 2018. The storm, itself, had a high degree of spatial variability.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%