The Southern Thai Conflict Six Years On: Insurgency, Not Just Crime

Jitpiromsri, Srisompob; McCargo, Duncan

doi:10.1355/cs32-2b

Cited by 25 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Further analysis is required to understand the cause of this association. The ongoing political violent conflict in the southern region of Thailand [27] likely explains the elevated risk of injury mortality among southern residents in the cohort ( Table 2).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predictors and burden of injury mortality in the Thai cohort study 2005–2015

et al. 2020

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Background Thailand is a high injury burden setting. In 2015 it had the world’s second highest rate of road traffic fatalities. In order to develop strategies to reduce this burden an accurate understanding of the development of injury risk over the life course is essential. Methods A national cohort of adult Thais was recruited in 2005 (n = 87,151). Participants completed a health questionnaire covering geodemographic, behavioural, health and injury data. Citizen ID numbers were matched with death registration records, identifying deaths from any injury. Adjusted logistic regression models were used to measure associations between baseline exposures and injury deaths between 2005 and 2015. Results Injury mortality comprised 363 individuals, the majority (36%) from traffic injuries. Predictors of all-injury mortality were being male (AOR 3.55, 95% CI 2.57–4.89), Southern Thai (AOR 1.52, 95% CI 1.07–2.16), smoking (AOR 1.55, 95% CI 1.16–2.17), depression (AOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.07–2.96), previous injury (AOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.03–1.81) and drink driving history (AOR 1.37, 95%CI 1.02–1.85). Age and region of residence were stronger predictors for men, while anxiety/depression was a stronger predictor for women. Among males in the far south, assault caused the largest proportion of injury mortality, elsewhere traffic injury was most common. Conclusions This study identifies that a history of drink driving, but not regular alcohol consumption, increased injury risk. The associations between smoking and depression, and injury mortality also need further consideration.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predictors and burden of injury mortality in the Thai cohort study 2005–2015

et al. 2020

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“…McCargo 2008;Satha-Anand 2008;Arpornsuwan 2008;McCargo 2012). Other studies have elaborated patterns of violence while identifying it as an insurgency (Gunaratna et al 2005;Jitpiromsri 2007;Human Rights Watch 2007;Abuza 2008;Liow and Pathan 2010;Jitpiromsri and McCargo 2010). In recent years, however, studies have turned to issues concerning conflict resolution and peace processes (McCargo 2014;Chambers et al 2016;Abuza 2016;International Crisis Group 2016;Chalermsripinyorat 2018).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Deep South of Thailand: 15 Years in Fields of Open Conflict, Violence and Peace Narratives

Jitpiromsri¹

2019

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Violent conflict in the Deep South of Thailand has persisted for over 13 years. The longer the conflict has lasted, the more complicated, varied and systematic it has become. All these variations indicate that violence in the Deep South has been driven mainly by intrinsic factors and their ongoing dynamic, which has become entrenched into a raging “system of violence.” This article proceeds step by step by first examining literature and second summarizing recent data between 2004 and 2017 from the recent study of the Deep South Incident Database (DSID). Then, the patterns of violent and peace dynamics will be analyzed and deduced based upon this empirical data. The next step will be the syntheses of related constructs and concepts that indicate rivalry between different ideas behind variations of the situation. Lastly, some critical remarks and observations about approaches to cope with the conflict as well as bringing about a sustainable peace process in the future will be presented. Based on empirical data available, this chapter attempts to define the system of violence in Thailand’s Deep South, forged as it is by different social and discursive processes.

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“…In 2009 there was an upsurge in violence (in terms of incidents of violence), a situation which in 2010 and 2011 was continuing unabated. According to Srisompob and McCargo (2010), this owed to the fact that security forces, through their increased counter-insurgency operations, were simultaneously violating more and more human rights which exacerbated Malay-Muslim grievances against the state, which then again gave insurgents more propaganda to rationalize continuing support for their cause (ibid, 163).…”

Section: The Conflict: a History Until 2014mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this respect the insurgency is a violent struggle which seeks a political objective. According to Srisompob and McCargo (2010), there need to be new political structures which can address local grievances because only with such local participation will the conflict dissipate in the long term (McCargo 2010, 167). In sum, a political legitimation crisis exists in the far South.…”

Section: Political Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%