“…Global warming is predicted to increase tropospheric lightning activity (5–10% for every 1° of warming) (Krause et al, ; Michalon et al, ; Price & Rind, ; Romps et al, ; Trapp et al, ) although the prediction has a large uncertainty in the lightning parameterization (Finney et al, ). Long‐term trends of increase in mesospheric carbon dioxide (CO ) and water vapor (H O) have been reported owing to recent improvement in the accuracy of global measurements (Chandra et al, ; Nath et al, ; Nedoluha et al, ; Qian et al, ). These trends, approximately +5.5% of CO and 10% of H O per decade, are related to anthropogenic CO and methane (CH ) emissions, respectively, and affect radiative forcing and mesospheric composition.…”