The Stability and Effectiveness of Climate Coalitions

Lessmann, Kai; Kornek, Ulrike; Bosetti, Valentina; Dellink, Rob; Emmerling, Johannes; Eyckmans, Johan; Nagashima, Miyuki; Weikard, Hans‐Peter; Yang, Zili

doi:10.1007/s10640-015-9886-0

Cited by 57 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…Robust policy design is not only crucial for tackling the climate change problem, but for overcoming other global change problems, like local air pollution, ecological devolution, and disorders of water resource distribution (Arnell et al 2016), which yields the requirements of the current multi-model study. Furthermore, an MMC analysis framework could also be employed to discuss the mechanism design of stable climate alliance in combination with the non-cooperative game theory, and analyze the impacts of freeriding behaviors on the stability of the climate alliance (Arnell et al 2016, Lessmann et al 2015). Although many of the models involved in these studies may not purely be IAMs, most importantly, all reflect the significance of the MMC or ensemble method for obtaining reliable scientific findings and making robust climate policies (Palosuo et al 2012, Vetter et al 2015, Mouratiadou et al 2018.…”

Section: Multi-model Studies On Other Global Change Issuesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Robust climate change research: a review on multi-model analysis

Duan

Zhang

Wang

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Significant differences in key results across the various climate models and integrated assessment models (IAMs) represent a critical challenge to reliable scientific findings and the robust design of climate policies, which leads to an enormous amount of attention and the urgent call for a multimodel study. In this paper, we develop an integrated literature-survey framework by combining the typical content analysis with a simple statistical analysis to systematically examine the developing trends of IAM-based multi-model studies and explore the model-robust climate policy findings; we also conduct an extended analysis to identify the role of a multi-model approach in global warming and other global change research by employing co-citation network analysis. The results reveal that multi-model comparison and ensemble are effective methods to explore reliable scientific findings and yield robust policy conclusions. The current multi-model studies are sparse as a whole, especially for IAM-based climate economic and policy research; future multi-model works, at both the global and regional levels, are therefore promising. We observe that the developed countries (the EU and the US) dominate the current multi-model study, which could be proved by the number of primary IAMs developed, frequency of models adopted, and number of works published. Addressing the risks of global warming relies on reliable scientific research and robust climate policy design, particularly for the developing large emitters, which heavily depends on consistent efforts toward primary model development and comprehensive cooperation with state-of-the-art model teams all over the world.

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Section: Multi-model Studies On Other Global Change Issuesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Robust climate change research: a review on multi-model analysis

Duan

Zhang

Wang

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

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“… 3 and 4 ). While the exact degree of free riding and cooperation will differ according to the technology and the assumptions about coalition formation and stability, most theoretical and empirical modeling suggests that reaching a grand bargain of most regions with strong abatement will be extraordinarily difficult ( 5 – 9 ). Studies of club-like structures can be found in refs.…”

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confidence: 99%

Dynamic climate clubs: On the effectiveness of incentives in global climate agreements

Nordhaus

2021

Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.

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A proposal to combat free riding in international climate agreements is the establishment of a climate club—a coalition of countries in a structure to encourage high levels of participation. Empirical models of climate clubs in the early stages relied on the analysis of single-period coalition formation. The earlier results suggested that there were limits to the potential strength of clubs and that it would be difficult to have deep abatement strategies in the club framework. The current study extends the single-period approach to many periods and develops an approach analyzing “supportable policies” to analyze multiperiod clubs. The major element of the present study is the interaction between club effectiveness and rapid technological change. Neither alone will produce incentive-compatible policies that can attain the ambitious objectives of international climate policy. The trade sanctions without rapid technological decarbonization will be too costly to produce deep abatement; similarly, rapid technological decarbonization by itself will not induce deep abatement because of country free riding. However, the two together can achieve international climate objectives.

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“…The main approach to ensure cooperation has so far been to negotiate a global climate agreement. A second approach is to form climate clubs and apply some form of punishment on nonmembers (Lessmann et al ., ; Nordhaus, ). Reciprocity offers a third option: there is sound evidence that humans react to cooperative behavior by increasing their own level of cooperation (Ostrom et al ., ; Ostrom, ).…”

Section: The Reaction Functionsmentioning

confidence: 98%

Leadership in Climate Change Mitigation: Consequences and Incentives

Schwerhoff

Kornek

Lessmann

et al. 2017

Journal of Economic Surveys

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Initiatives in favor of unilateral action on climate change are frequently challenged by concerns over free riding. Nevertheless, we observe an increasing number of unilateral efforts at different administrative levels and in different parts of the world. Previous academic literature described various individual mechanisms where emissions abroad may increase or decrease as a reaction to unilateral emission reductions. In this paper, we collect a comprehensive set of both positive and negative reactions and analyze them in stylized models. This allows us to identify the most important characteristics that determine the potential of a leader to boost mitigation efforts abroad. We find that this potential depends on (i) a strong ability to generate knowledge through leadership, (ii) a high degree of credibility in the international community, and (iii) a similar economic structure to the most important emitters. While most effects are difficult to quantify, this comprehensive assessment suggests that leakage effects resulting from unilateral mitigation may well be outweighed by positive reactions.

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The Stability and Effectiveness of Climate Coalitions

Cited by 57 publications

References 39 publications

Robust climate change research: a review on multi-model analysis

Robust climate change research: a review on multi-model analysis

Dynamic climate clubs: On the effectiveness of incentives in global climate agreements

Leadership in Climate Change Mitigation: Consequences and Incentives

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