The Structure of Presidential Elections and the Process of Realignment, 1944 to 1980

Rabinowitz, George; Gurian, Paul-Henri; Macdonald, Stuart Elaine

doi:10.2307/2110990

Cited by 47 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…These results accord well with Rabinowitz, Gurian, and Macdonald (1984), Rabinowitz and Macdonald (1986), and Macdonald and Rabinowitz (1987), who factor analyzed state-level presidential returns from 1944 to 1980. They also found two underlying factors that accounted for 48.1 % and 31.1 % of the variance, respectively.…”

Section: The Homogeneity Of Long-term Effectssupporting

confidence: 87%

Using Presidential Election Returns To Measure Constituency Ideology

LeoGrande

Jeydel

1997

American Politics Quarterly

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Section: The Homogeneity Of Long-term Effectssupporting

confidence: 87%

Using Presidential Election Returns To Measure Constituency Ideology

LeoGrande

Jeydel

1997

American Politics Quarterly

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“…To do this we require information about the ideology or each senator and the ideology of each state constituency. In the ensuing analysis we will use the difference between ADA and ACA ratings in 1984 as the basis for determining the ideology of senators, and the Rabinowitz, Gurian, and Macdonald (1984) ideological rating of state electorates to determine the position of the states. The analysis requires two steps.…”

Section: Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Directional Theory of Issue Voting

1989

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xrom Stokes s (1963) early critique on, it has been clear to empirical researchers that the traditional spatial theory of elections is seriously flawed. Yet fully a quarter century later, that theory remains the dominant paradigm for understanding mass-elite linkage in politics. We present an alternative spatial theory of elections that we argue has greater empirical verisimilitude.Based on the ideas of symbolic politics, the directional theory assumes that most people have a diffuse preference for a certain direction of policy-making and that people vary in the intensity with which they hold those preferences. We test the two competing theories at the individual level with National Election Study data and find the directional theory more strongly supported than the traditional spatial theory. We then develop the implications of the directional theory for candidate behavior and assess the predictions in light of evidence from the U.S. Congress.

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“…At the presidential level, the growing importance of primary elections as vehicles for achieving party nominations has increased the importance of the varying state political environments in the presidential selection process (Wekkin, 1984). Home-state advantage plays a role in presidential elections, helping presidential and vice-presidential candidates (Garand, 1988;Lewis-Beck and Rice, 1982), and the partisan and ideological setting of the states lend structure to presidential elections (Maggiotto and Wekkin, 2000;Rabinowitz et al, 1985). With regard to congressional elections, members of the US House and Senate sit at the very intersection of state and national politics, running for national office in subnational settings that reflect differences on national issues, as well as idiosyncratic state and local concerns.…”

Section: Integrating State and National Party Competition In The Statesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political Parties in State and Nation

Brown

Bruce

2002

Party Politics

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A B S T R A C TResearch on party competition in the United States suffers because existing measures do not allow for an examination of national-level competition in the states. We view this as a significant oversight, and argue that party competition in the United States must be evaluated within a federal context. Toward that end, we develop measures of partisan electoral advantage and competition based on margin of victory in state and national offices for the legislature and executive. These measures allow us to examine, for the first time, patterns of competition for both state and national offices within and across the states. The patterns seen in the data are interesting and preliminary insights promising. We believe the measure developed here will permit a more expansive and theoretically interesting examination of party competition, and that these descriptive analyses point to a wide variety of interesting future pursuits.

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The Structure of Presidential Elections and the Process of Realignment, 1944 to 1980

Cited by 47 publications

References 21 publications

Using Presidential Election Returns To Measure Constituency Ideology

Using Presidential Election Returns To Measure Constituency Ideology

A Directional Theory of Issue Voting

Political Parties in State and Nation

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