1987
DOI: 10.1177/1532673x8701500107
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The Supreme Court as an Opinion Leader

Abstract: Evidence for the Supreme Court's legitimacy-conferring role is measured by examining shifts in pre- and postdecision public opinions polls. A study of 18 poll shifts since the 1930s indicates that the average pre- to postdecision poll shift is virtually zero. Under limited circumstances, however, larger poll shifts toward the Court's position do occur, especially when the Court makes liberal, activist decisions and when a time-lag variable is allowed for.

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Cited by 30 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…Still, their view does enjoy empirical utility. For example, studies of legitimation examining aggregate opinion data often have had no alternative but to use measures of policy agreement as surrogates for policy legitimacy (e.g., Marshall 1987Marshall , 1989). Adamany (1973) presents a distinction that may help to reconcile the two views of policy legitimacy.…”
Section: Defining Policy Legitimacymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Still, their view does enjoy empirical utility. For example, studies of legitimation examining aggregate opinion data often have had no alternative but to use measures of policy agreement as surrogates for policy legitimacy (e.g., Marshall 1987Marshall , 1989). Adamany (1973) presents a distinction that may help to reconcile the two views of policy legitimacy.…”
Section: Defining Policy Legitimacymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A prominent explanation of the effect of Court rulings on public opinion is the legitimation hypothesis (Adamany 1973;Casey 1974;Dahl 1957;Kessel 1966;Marshall 1987;Murphy and Tanenhaus 1969). According to this line of argument, when the Court rules, it confers legitimacy on the position it favors.…”
Section: Do Court Rulings Affect Public Opinion?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They compare the level of public support prior to a decision with the level of support after the decision. Marshall (1987) considers 18 Court decisions since the 1930s. In his analysis the shift between predecision and postdecision opinion is taken as a dependent variable to be explained by several independent variables such as unanimity of the Court, liberalism of the decision, and the time lag between the polls.…”
Section: Do Court Rulings Affect Public Opinion?mentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…CONCLUSION Although it seems that the Court did exert a positive influence when making policy in a moral/social area, especially among those who held the Court in high esteem, it is not clear why it had this effect only when it decided conservatively. It is possible, as Marshall (1987) argued, that the ideological direction of the ruling matters. However, he witnessed positive poll shifts when the Court ruled in a liberal and activist fashion.…”
Section: The Results Inmentioning
confidence: 99%