2022
DOI: 10.1111/twec.13362
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The trade effects of the African Continental Free Trade Area: An empirical analysis

Abstract: This study examines the possible effects of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement tariff reduction protocol on intra-African goods trade using two approaches: trade indices and a gravity model. In both approaches, an attempt to identify the trade-creation and trade-diversion effects of the proposed AfCFTA is made.

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Cited by 17 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…The "other agreements" variable remains zero for ASEAN countries and during periods when ASEAN lacks free trade agreements (FTAs) with expanded countries, switching to one when such agreements are active. This finding is consistent with recent studies by (Duong et al, 2021Ennadifi et al, 2023Geda & Yimer, 2023Jagdambe & Kannan, 2020. These studies offer valuable insights into the impacts of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) on Vietnam's trade dynamics, providing a framework for comparison with the present study's methodology.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 91%
“…The "other agreements" variable remains zero for ASEAN countries and during periods when ASEAN lacks free trade agreements (FTAs) with expanded countries, switching to one when such agreements are active. This finding is consistent with recent studies by (Duong et al, 2021Ennadifi et al, 2023Geda & Yimer, 2023Jagdambe & Kannan, 2020. These studies offer valuable insights into the impacts of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) on Vietnam's trade dynamics, providing a framework for comparison with the present study's methodology.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 91%
“…These benefits include increased foreign trade, household consumption and production in most sectors. Overall, these results corroborate those found by Geda and Yimer (2022); Nechifor et al (2021) and Shinyekwa et al (2020). These results reaffirm the role of economic and regional integration as an important driver of development.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…For the specific case of the AfCFTA, there is empirical evidence that the agreement positively affects trade flows (Abrego et al, 2019; Bakouan et al, 2022; Ejones et al, 2021; Geda & Yimer, 2022; Gondwe, 2021; Oyelami, 2021; Riedel & Slany, 2019; Wonyra & Bayale, 2022) investment (Abrego et al, 2020; Mold & Mukwaya, 2016) consumer welfare (Fofack et al, 2021; Fouda Ekobena et al, 2021; Fusacchia et al, 2022). However, the literature on the COMESA free trade agreement, however, points to a welfare loss for Ethiopia as a result of the agreement (Amogne & Hagiwara, 2021).…”
Section: Literature Review: Free Trade and Economic Integrationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although the aggregate COVID-19 cases in Africa are incomparable to that of Europe and other parts of the world, the economic and health ramifications cannot be overstated. About 85% of Africa’s trade is with the rest of the world and therefore lockdowns in China, Europe and the United States resulted in a decline in the demand for African exports, imports of capital and consumer goods, tourism, and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows [ 3 , 4 ]. The consequences on Africa’s economies were more pronounced at the onset of the pandemic given the extent of the decline in global demand and financial inflow [ 5 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%