The uniqueness of the Ethiopian demographictransition within sub-Saharan Africa:multiple responses to population pressure,and preconditions for rural fertility declineand capturing the demographic dividend

Teller, Charles; Hailemariam, Assefa; Gebreselassie, Tesfayi; Seifu, Yordanos

doi:10.11564/25-2-236

Cited by 3 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…Delay in early marriage, female literacy, youth aspiration, urban expansion, contraceptives, and health services are among the most important factors attributed to fertility reduction. 9,38 This explanation is in-line with the standard theory of fertility decline. 49 Both women fertility and rural-to-urban migration has resulted in growing urban population at the rate of 4.89% per years.…”

Section: Demographic Changessupporting

confidence: 78%

“…6 Overpopulation resulted in land resource scarcity, fragmentation of farm plots, and ecological degradation such as increasing emissions, soil erosion, deforestation, and the overuse of natural resources. [7][8][9] Producing adequate food for a rapidly growing population is a prime challenge for development. 10 Despite economic development improved in Ethiopia, 11,12 the country has suffered with multifaceted challenges including land scarcity, malnutrition, recurrent drought and lack of agricultural technologies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The link between agricultural production and population dynamics in Ethiopia: a review

Mekuria¹

2018

APAR

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Section: Demographic Changessupporting

confidence: 78%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The link between agricultural production and population dynamics in Ethiopia: a review

Mekuria¹

2018

APAR

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“…Fertility began declining in the 1990s, with the earliest and largest drops occurring in urban areas, giving signs of a fertility transition in progress with the total fertility rate (TFR) declining from 6.4 in 1990 to 4.8 in 2011 (Lindstrom and Berhanu B, 1999, CSA and ORC Macro, 2006, CSA and ORC Macro, 2012). After 2000, the demographic transition showed signs of stalling as in other African populations (Gebreselassie, 2011, Teller et al, 2011). In the mid-2000s total fertility was 5.4, barely different from its level of 5.5 in 2000 (Gebreselassie, 2011).…”

Section: Literature Review and Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 91%

Recent trends in the timing of first sex and marriage among young women in Ethiopia

Reda

Lindstrom

2014

APS

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Context Ethiopia has been characterized by high population growth. Recent social and economic developments have the potential to alter reproductive patterns in the country. Some of these developments include sustained economic growth, urbanization, rapid growth in school enrollments, expansion of primary health care, and a rise in contraceptive access and use. In other national contexts, these developments have been associated with a gradual decoupling of the transition into sexual activity and marriage among young women. We investigate recent trends in the transition into first sex and marriage among three cohorts of Ethiopian women. Methods Using data from the 2000, 2005, and 2011 Ethiopia Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) we estimate survival curves and discrete-time hazards models to examine recent trends in age at first sex and first marriage among women ages 20–29. Results Across the three survey years the median age at first sex has remained relatively stable at 17 years, although the median age at marriage has increased from 17 to 18 years between the 2005 and 2011 surveys. Net of the effects of education and place of residence, there is evidence of a slight trend away from premarital first sex to sexual initiation in the context of marriage. However, among the most educated women and women living in urban areas (who are a small minority of women), there is a much greater tendency to initiate sexual activity outside of marriage compared to women with little schooling and women living in rural areas, and once they have begun sexual activity they tend to wait longer before they get married. We also find evidence in the most recent survey that women who have first sexual intercourse before marriage are delaying marriage more than was the case among earlier cohorts.

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“…The population growth rate is expected to decline further, and life expectancy is expected to increase. The reductions in mortality and fertility rates are more rapid in Ethiopia than in other sub-Saharan African countries [3][4][5]. This also creates a window of opportunity for the country by increasing the proportion of the working-age group population to accelerate economic growth [6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Births and deaths in Sidama in southern Ethiopia: findings from the 2018 Dale-Wonsho Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS)

Abera

Dangisso

Lindtjørn

2020

Global Health Action

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Background Sidama is one of the most densely populated areas in Ethiopia. Information about the demographic characteristics is scarce, and most studies were census based on interviews. Earlier population studies from Ethiopia did not sufficiently address the validity of measuring births, deaths, and age-composition. Objective To investigate the population characteristics in Sidama with an emphasis on fertility estimates, age, and death reporting. Methods This is a mixed-method cross-sectional study, conducted in Sidama in southern Ethiopia, using baseline data of newly established Dale-Wonsho Health and Demographic Surveillance System site in 2018. We used quantitative data of 5179 randomly selected households having 25,144 individuals. We collected information on deaths in the same study period and population from the traditional burial associations ( Iddir ). Qualitative data were collected using focus group discussions, and in-depth interviews. Life tables, age reliability indices and logistic regression were used to analyse the data. Results The total fertility rate was 2.9 children/woman, the crude birth rate was 22.8/1000 population and the crude death rate was 5.2/1000 population. The dependency ratio was 66/100 working-age population. Urban residents had higher birth rates (OR = 1.4 (95% CL: 1.05–1.78), and women with basic education had lower birth rates (OR = 0.6 (95% CL: 0.46–0.78) compared to those with no education. The age accuracy indices showed unreliable age reporting. The number of deaths increased from 29 to 132 when death reports from the Iddirs were included. There was under-reporting of neonatal and deaths of young children. Substituting national and regional mortality estimates, the life expectancy declined to an average of 53 years (range 48–58 years). Conclusion The fertility rate in Sidama is lower than previously reported and is affected by age, residence and education. As we have identified important measurement and reporting errors, future demographic surveillance sites should consider these limitations.

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The uniqueness of the Ethiopian demographictransition within sub-Saharan Africa:multiple responses to population pressure,and preconditions for rural fertility declineand capturing the demographic dividend

Abstract: Abstract

Cited by 3 publications

References 19 publications

The link between agricultural production and population dynamics in Ethiopia: a review

The link between agricultural production and population dynamics in Ethiopia: a review

Recent trends in the timing of first sex and marriage among young women in Ethiopia

Births and deaths in Sidama in southern Ethiopia: findings from the 2018 Dale-Wonsho Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS)

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