The value of a multi-faceted climate change vulnerability assessment to managing protected lands: Lessons from a case study in Point Reyes National Seashore

Hameed, Sarah O.; Holzer, Katie A.; Doerr, Angee N.; Baty, Jill H.; Schwartz, Mark W.

doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.02.034

Cited by 13 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…To offset the subjectivity of newspaper articles, we used a survey of experts. Reference [61] has insisted that a multi-faceted approach is needed to deal with climate change issues. Uncertainty can be reduced by applying other beneficial methods, such as expert judgement, which can provide insight into the vulnerabilities of drivers associated with climate change.…”

Section: Risk Assessmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Multi-Risk Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, Based on an Analysis of South Korean Newspaper Articles

Kang

Park

2018

Sustainability

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Abstract:The risks caused by climate change are worsening worldwide, and it is recognized that national and regional responses to climate change are essential. This study therefore explores climate change risks that have been recognized as fatal to people and the environment by analyzing multi-influence factors that appear in multiple risk indicators. The climate change risks in this study are based on 73 existing risk indicators; the frame data for multi-influence risk factors are based on 3098 newspaper articles published over 24 years on the impact of climate change in South Korea. The main outcomes for this study were finding climate change risk trend from newspaper articles regarding climate change impacts through text-mining, and figuring out the multi-risk indicators that are likely to occur at the same time with other risk indicators using network analysis. From the network analysis, we found that the major risk indicators have a high degree of interrelationship among risk indicators, including "increase in mortality rate from disaster", "increase in flood areas due to coastal flooding", and "destruction of repair facilities due to flooding (river bank, etc.)". The main risk indicators derived from this study can therefore be used as a reasonable standard when identifying the main risks posed by climate change and defining future adaptation planning priorities.

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Section: Risk Assessmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Multi-Risk Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, Based on an Analysis of South Korean Newspaper Articles

Kang

Park

2018

Sustainability

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“…In these situations, DFC management confronts existing ‘retrospective’ management practices that have for decades worked to preserve areas and resources within an ‘historical range of variability’ (HRV) [12]. For example, in a coastal park such as Point Reyes National Seashore [13], where the physical shoreline and intertidal wetlands are important resources, park managers may need to consider facilitating the inland migration of both features into new areas, rather than retain HRV by resisting sea level rise. Depending on the proximity of the current shoreline to the park’s boundary, some of this DFC management may necessitate accepting or promoting resource migration beyond areas administered by the NPS.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Exposure of US National Parks in a New Era of Change

Monahan

Fisichelli

2014

PLoS ONE

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US national parks are challenged by climate and other forms of broad-scale environmental change that operate beyond administrative boundaries and in some instances are occurring at especially rapid rates. Here, we evaluate the climate change exposure of 289 natural resource parks administered by the US National Park Service (NPS), and ask which are presently (past 10 to 30 years) experiencing extreme (<5th percentile or >95th percentile) climates relative to their 1901–2012 historical range of variability (HRV). We consider parks in a landscape context (including surrounding 30 km) and evaluate both mean and inter-annual variation in 25 biologically relevant climate variables related to temperature, precipitation, frost and wet day frequencies, vapor pressure, cloud cover, and seasonality. We also consider sensitivity of findings to the moving time window of analysis (10, 20, and 30 year windows). Results show that parks are overwhelmingly at the extreme warm end of historical temperature distributions and this is true for several variables (e.g., annual mean temperature, minimum temperature of the coldest month, mean temperature of the warmest quarter). Precipitation and other moisture patterns are geographically more heterogeneous across parks and show greater variation among variables. Across climate variables, recent inter-annual variation is generally well within the range of variability observed since 1901. Moving window size has a measureable effect on these estimates, but parks with extreme climates also tend to exhibit low sensitivity to the time window of analysis. We highlight particular parks that illustrate different extremes and may facilitate understanding responses of park resources to ongoing climate change. We conclude with discussion of how results relate to anticipated future changes in climate, as well as how they can inform NPS and neighboring land management and planning in a new era of change.

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“…Most of these studies evaluated intrinsic adaptive capacity—the inherent ability of a species or system to adapt to climate change—with species' range shifts most frequently cited as a potential adaptive response to climate change (e.g., Hansen & Phillips, 2015). Others identified species traits that enhance or detract from adaptive capacity such as dispersal ability (e.g., Hameed et al, 2013), ability to adapt to temperature changes (Clark et al, 2017), reproductive rates (Ulrey et al, 2016), or how species may alter diet in response to climate impacts (Wang, Hobbs, Singer, et al, 2002).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Warming temperatures and changing precipitation patterns are driving shifts in species distributions, changes in phenology, altered behavior, and altered interspecific interactions (IPCC, 2014). In the United States, National Parks are disproportionately exposed to climate change (Gonzalez et al, 2018) and are already experiencing significant changes in fire regimes, biological composition, and coastlines (Gonzalez, 2017; Hameed et al, 2013; Pendleton et al, 2010). Many parks have the potential to provide critical climate‐change refugia (Michalak et al, 2018) and yet face climate impacts that could potentially transform vegetation, species composition, and disturbance regimes (Scriven et al, 2015; Van Dusen et al, 2020; Wu et al, 2018; Zomer et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate‐change vulnerability assessments of natural resources in U.S. National Parks

Michalak

Lawler

Gross

et al. 2022

Conservat Sci and Prac

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Climate change poses significant challenges to protected area management globally. Anticipatory climate adaptation planning relies on vulnerability assessments that identify parks and resources at risk from climate change and associated vulnerability drivers. However, there is currently little understanding of where and how protected area assessments have been conducted and what assessment approaches best inform park management. To address this knowledge gap, we systematically evaluated climate-change vulnerability assessments of natural resources in U.S. National Parks. We categorized the spatial scale, resources, methods, and handling of uncertainty for each assessment and mapped which parks have assessments and for what resources. We found that a few broad-scale assessments provide baseline information-primarily regarding physical climate change exposure-for all parks and can support regional to national decisions. However, finer-scale assessments are required to inform decisions for individual or small groups of parks. Only 10% of parks had parkspecific assessments describing key climate impacts and identifying priority resource vulnerabilities, and 37% lacked any regional or park-specific assessments. We identify assessment approaches that match the scale and objectives of different protected area management decisions and recommend a multiscaled approach to implementing assessments to meet the information needs of a large, protected area network like the National Park system.

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The value of a multi-faceted climate change vulnerability assessment to managing protected lands: Lessons from a case study in Point Reyes National Seashore

Cited by 13 publications

References 41 publications

A Multi-Risk Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, Based on an Analysis of South Korean Newspaper Articles

A Multi-Risk Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, Based on an Analysis of South Korean Newspaper Articles

Climate Exposure of US National Parks in a New Era of Change

Climate‐change vulnerability assessments of natural resources in U.S. National Parks

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