The Value of Ocean Decadal Climate Variability Information to United States Agriculture

Rhodes, Lauren A.; McCarl, Bruce A.

doi:10.3390/atmos11040318

Cited by 7 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 31 publications

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“…The forecasting of drought one year in advance across the Missouri River Basin and the USA in general based in decadal scale variability was calculated to be $80M and $1.1B by References [73,74], respectively. Thus, interannual and interdecadal variability in the large-scale flow patterns and their relationship to local temperature and precipitation is important for generating long-range forecasts.…”

Section: Interannual and Interdecadal Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Comparison of the Characteristics of Drought during the Late 20th and Early 21st Centuries over Eastern Europe, Western Russia and Central North America

et al. 2021

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The character of the atmospheric general circulation during summer-season droughts over Eastern Europe/Western Russia and North America during the late twentieth and early twenty first century is examined here. A criterion to examine atmospheric drought events that encompassed the summer season (an important part of the growing season) was used to determine which years were driest, using precipitation, evaporation, and areal coverage. The relationship between drought and the character of the atmosphere, using the Dzerzeevsky weather and climatic classification scheme, atmospheric blocking, teleconnections, and information entropy, was used to study the atmospheric dynamics. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) re-analyses dataset archived at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, CO, USA, is used to examine the synoptic character and calculate the dynamic quantities for these dry events. The results demonstrate that extreme droughts over North America are associated with a long warm and dry period of weather and the development of a moderate ridge over the Central USA driven by surface processes. These were more common in the late 20th century. Extreme droughts over Eastern Europe and Western Russia are driven by the occurrence of prolonged blocking episodes, as well as surface processes, and have become more common during the 21st century.

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Section: Interannual and Interdecadal Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Comparison of the Characteristics of Drought during the Late 20th and Early 21st Centuries over Eastern Europe, Western Russia and Central North America

et al. 2021

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High-resolution simulations of decadal climate variability impacts on spring and winter wheat yields in the Missouri River Basin with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)

et al. 2021

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Impacts of climate change and agricultural diversification on agricultural production value of Thai farm households

Prommawin,

Svavasu,

Tanpraphan

et al. 2024

Climatic Change

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This paper examines how rising temperatures impact the agricultural production value of Thai farmers, compares potential adaptation strategies like agricultural diversification, and analyzes future projections based on IPCC AR6 scenarios. We analyze nationally representative socioeconomic survey data from farm households alongside ERA5 weather data, utilizing econometric regression analysis. Our analysis reveals that higher temperatures lead to a reduction in agricultural output value, with the situation expected to worsen as global warming progresses. Furthermore, we find that households with diversified production practices, such as a variety of agricultural activities or multicropping, exhibit a greater capacity to adapt to rising temperatures. These findings substantiate the importance of the country’s policies promoting integrated farming and diversified crop-mix strategies.

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The Value of Ocean Decadal Climate Variability Information to United States Agriculture

Cited by 7 publications

References 31 publications

A Comparison of the Characteristics of Drought during the Late 20th and Early 21st Centuries over Eastern Europe, Western Russia and Central North America

A Comparison of the Characteristics of Drought during the Late 20th and Early 21st Centuries over Eastern Europe, Western Russia and Central North America

High-resolution simulations of decadal climate variability impacts on spring and winter wheat yields in the Missouri River Basin with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)

Impacts of climate change and agricultural diversification on agricultural production value of Thai farm households

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