Objective
To clarify the impact of hepatic steatosis (HS) indexed by Fatty Liver Index (FLI) and high normal fasting plasma glucose (FPG) as risk factors for incident prediabetes in a non-obese cohort.
Methods
Data from 1,125 participants with ADA-defined normal glucose metabolism (NGM) (median age and BMI, 52 years and 23.1 kg/m 2, respectively) were used for retrospective analysis. In the entire population, correlation between normal FPG and FLI was evaluated by multiple regression with adjustment for age and sex. Follow-up data from 599 participants in whom 75 g OGTT was repeated 3.7 years later showed that 169 developed prediabetes. This was analyzed by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.
Results
In the entire population, FLI was positively correlated with FPG (P <0.01): mean FLI increased from 15.8 at FPG 4.2 mmol/L to 31.6 at FPG 5.5 mmol/L. Analysis of the 599 participants (2,061 person-years) by Cox model, adjusted for sex, age, family history of diabetes, ISIMATSUDA and Stumvoll-1, clarified an increased risk of prediabetes with high normal FPG and FLI. In in participants with FLI≥16.5, as compared with FLI <16.5, P<0.001. The risk was also increased (2.1 times) in participants with FPG ≥5.3 mmol/L, P<0.001. The cutoff values (unadjusted) were obtained by ROC at the point of the largest Youden’s index using the entire range of the variables.
Conclusions
Even among non-obese individuals, HS indexed by FLI and a high-normal FPG (≥5.3 mmol/L) are risk factors for prediabetes, independently from insulin.