Theories of the Wason Selection Task: a Critical Assessment of Boundaries and Benchmarks

Kellen, David; Klauer, Karl Christoph

doi:10.1007/s42113-019-00034-1

Cited by 10 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…RRW’s critique is motivated by a strong concern with individual heterogeneity, a concern that I share with similar intensity (e.g., Kellen et al, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021; Kellen & Klauer, 2020; Singmann & Kellen, 2019). Lest we forget: The reality of individual heterogeneity introduces serious inferential challenges, which researchers ignore at their own peril.…”

Section: Concluding Thoughtsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter et al. (2022).

Kellen¹

2022

Decision

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Regenwetter et al. (2022) argue that research on decision-making is plagued with conjunction fallacies or “Linda Effects.” As a case study, they provide a critical analysis of Kahneman and Tversky’s seminal article on Prospect Theory and its 1992 sequel. This commentary evaluates their criticisms and ultimately finds them to be predicated on a number of misconceptions. As argued below, a reliance on stylized effects at the aggregate level is perfectly legitimate when dismissing a received view and first proposing a new account that organizes said effects in theoretically-meaningful ways.

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Section: Concluding Thoughtsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter et al. (2022).

Kellen¹

2022

Decision

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“…RRW's critique is motivated by a strong concern with individual heterogeneity, a concern that I share with similar intensity (e.g., Kellen & Klauer, 2020;Kellen, Mata, & Davis-Stober, 2017;Kellen, Pachur, & Hertwig, 2016;Kellen, Winiger, Dunn, & Singmann, 2021;Singmann & Kellen, 2019). Lest we forget: The this specific parametrization of TAX, which he clearly distinguishes from the 'General TAX ' model.…”

Section: Concluding Thoughtsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter, Robinson, and Wang (in press)

Kellen¹

2021

Preprint

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Regenwetter, Robinson, and Wang (in press) argue that research on decision making is plagued with conjunction fallacies or “Linda Effects”. As a case study, they provide a critical analysis of Kahneman and Tversky’s seminal paper on Prospect Theory and its 1992 sequel. This commentary evaluates their criticisms and ultimately finds them to be predicated on a number of misconceptions. As argued below, a reliance on stylized effects at the aggregate level is perfectly legitimate when dismissing a received view and first proposing a new account that organizes said effects in theoretically-meaningful ways.

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“…This means that one does not have sufficient degrees of freedom to test theoretical accounts that make fine-grained algorithm-level claims. To make matters worse, aggregating data across participants is very likely to introduce distortions that can spuriously reject models and lead researchers astray (for recent discussions, see Estes & Maddox, 2005; Kellen & Klauer, 2019; Regenwetter & Robinson, 2017).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Normative accounts of illusory correlations.

Bott¹,

Kellen²,

Klauer³

2021

Psychological Review

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When learning about the joint occurrence of different variables, individuals often manifest biases in the associations they infer. In some cases they infer an association when none is present in the observed sample. Other times they infer an association that is contrary to the one that is in fact observed. These illusory correlations are often interpreted as being the byproduct of selective processing or as the outcome of an 'illogical' pseudocontingency heuristic. More recently, a normative account of illusory correlations has been proposed, according to which they result from an application of Laplace's Rule of Succession. The present work will discuss the empirical and theoretical limitations associated with this normative account, and argue for its dismissal. As an alternative, we propose a normative account that casts illusory correlations as the expected outcome of a Bayesian reasoner relying on marginal frequencies. We show that this account succeeds in capturing the qualitative patterns found in a corpus of published studies.

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Theories of the Wason Selection Task: a Critical Assessment of Boundaries and Benchmarks

Cited by 10 publications

References 56 publications

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter et al. (2022).

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter et al. (2022).

Behavioral decision research is not a Linda problem: Comment on Regenwetter, Robinson, and Wang (in press)

Normative accounts of illusory correlations.

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