Time series analysis of the interaction between ambient temperature and air pollution on hospitalizations for AECOPD in Ganzhou, China

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the univariate and bivariate effects of ambient temperature and air pollutants on 57,251 inpatients with AECOPD (Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) in Ganzhou from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019. We categorized the daily mean temperature and air pollutant variables based on the exposure–response curve of the Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model. Poisson regression model was used for interaction and stratification analysis. The Relative Excess Risk due to Interaction (RERI) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) between daily mean temperature (Tmean) and air pollutants including NO 2 , PM 2.5 , and PM 10 were − 0.428 (95% CI − 0.637, − 0.218), -− 0.227 (95% CI − 0.293, − 0.161), and − 0.119 (95% CI − 0.159, − 0.079). Further stratification analysis showed the relative risk (RR) (95% CI) of high NO 2 (> 33 μg/m 3 ) at low Tmean (≤ 28 °C) was 1.119 (95% CI 1.096, 1.142). Low temperatures with high PM 10 in men and high PM 2.5 in women were associated with a higher risk of AECOPD hospitalization. The results indicate a higher risk of hospitalization for AECOPD when there is with high concentrations of air pollution at low temperatures.