2021
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2021.721343
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Time Trends and Predictions of Suicide Mortality for People Aged 70 Years and Over From 1990 to 2030 Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Abstract: Background: High suicide rate in the elderly is an important global public health problem but has not received the attention it deserves. This study aimed to examine time trends of suicide mortality for people aged 70 years and over by sex, age, and location from 1990 to 2017, and to provide predictions up to 2030.Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017, we presented elderly suicide mortality changes and compared the patterns for the elderly with that for all ages. We estimated associa… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(12 citation statements)
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References 67 publications
(109 reference statements)
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“…Broadly, the general methodological limitations of the GBD data have been published elsewhere [ 11 ]. Although this study provided a comprehensive disease burden based on the estimates from the GBD study, a major limitation is that the data from the GBD study, especially for low-income countries, including North Korea, is influenced by the quality of the primary data [ 33 ]. Since large uncertainties surround the estimates of disease burden in North Korea, the interpretation of comparisons within or between countries should always be performed with caution.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Broadly, the general methodological limitations of the GBD data have been published elsewhere [ 11 ]. Although this study provided a comprehensive disease burden based on the estimates from the GBD study, a major limitation is that the data from the GBD study, especially for low-income countries, including North Korea, is influenced by the quality of the primary data [ 33 ]. Since large uncertainties surround the estimates of disease burden in North Korea, the interpretation of comparisons within or between countries should always be performed with caution.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The global trend for suicides among the elderly has shown a mixed trend [4,34]. South Korea showed a decreasing trend of suicide by 5.5% (2010-2016) possibly through the implementation of a national suicide prevention policy with 5.6% (95% CI 4.4%,6.9%) from 1993-2010 [31],.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Hence, this registry had the most comprehensive database in the country. In this study, the data extracted from NRD was recorded using the International Classification of Disease, 10 th edition (ICD-10) codes X60-84 as the classification of deaths due to suicide [4]. The retrieved data for all elderly as defined by the elderly policy in the country as an elderly aged 60 years and above [16].…”
Section: Data Sourcementioning
confidence: 99%
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