To Compete or Retreat? The Global Diffusion of Precision Strike

Horowitz, Michael C.; Schwartz, Joshua A.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3752391

Cited by 3 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 23 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Such a race is already underway-first of all, a race of quality. However, under the very likely conditions of further destabilization of international security, it can quickly turn into a race of quantity (Horowitz and Schwartz, 2020).…”

Section: Main Issues Of Missile Proliferation In the Present Periodmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Missile Proliferation: Challenges and Solutions

Богданов

Stefanovich

2022

Her. Russ. Acad. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Developments in missile proliferation are analyzed, including the main drivers, trends, and actors. The increasing complexity of the global missile proliferation landscape is shown. They key areas of technological development are identified, as well as several types of missile proliferators, to substantiate the importance of missile proliferation in the context of international security. Existing and prospective mechanisms are discussed with respect to arms control, nonproliferation, and multilateral risk reduction measures. It is stressed that the existing mechanisms are aimed primarily at reducing the risks associated with creating delivery vehicles for weapons of mass destruction whereas the greatest importance is now attached to the potential use of conventionally armed missiles. It is proposed to concentrate efforts on “soft arms control” in order to lay a foundation for a gradual increase in controllability in the absence of real prospects for verifiable and intrusive multilateral measures.

show abstract

Section: Main Issues Of Missile Proliferation In the Present Periodmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Missile Proliferation: Challenges and Solutions

Богданов

Stefanovich

2022

Her. Russ. Acad. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Studying smart bombs in particular is an important analytical task. The broader precision strike complex is important-encompassing platforms and enablers in addition to munitions-but difficult to measure, requiring the use of proxy variables that may or may not capture the entirety of the precision strike complex (Horowitz and Schwartz 2021). Moreover, the lack of standardized data at present limits existing academic work.…”

Section: What Are Smart Bombs?mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, there is only limited social science research on precision strike capabilities and little theoretical or empirical work on the factors that explain the likelihood that a state will acquire PGMs (Horowitz and Schwartz 2021). Broadly, precision weapons have spread more slowly than analysts initially believed following the Persian Gulf War (Watts 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Who Gets Smart? Explaining How Precision Bombs Proliferate

Kahn

Horowitz

2022

Journal of Conflict Resolution

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Smart weapons represent a key element of military power for countries around the world, and nothing symbolizes them more than smart bombs—the guided aerial bombs that the United States debuted in the Vietnam War. Yet, international relations scholars know little about these weapons and what explains their proliferation. In this paper, we theorize about the key drivers of smart bomb proliferation, including an interaction between the security environment, regime type, and the interest of states in precision to help them follow the law of war. We then introduce a new dataset on smart bombs from 1960-2017. The results show that internal and external security threats make countries more likely to acquire smart bombs. These effects interact with regime type and whether countries are more likely to ratify treaties related to the law of war. GDP per capita and economic capacity also appears fundamental to explaining smart bomb adoption.

show abstract

“…Over the past decade, several states have been intensifying technological competition with the United States in selected areas or have been trying to reduce US qualitative superiority through asymmetric responses (Horowitz and Schwartz 2020). In Europe, Russia has invested in electronic warfare systems and is increasingly fielding unmanned land systems.…”

Section: Technological Modernization and Competitionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Beyond Stability: The politics of conventional arms control in Europe

Graef

2021

Z Friedens und Konflforsch

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The conventional arms control architecture in Europe is falling apart. This article argues that classic arms control theory fails to explain this continuing process. I suggest that its underlying stability paradigm, based on reciprocity and technical measures for war prevention, has forestalled a full understanding of actual arms control practices, particularly in Europe. In this context, I illustrate that conventional arms control has evolved in three historical stages. In each of these, state actors pursued different ideal-type purposes depending on the concrete geostrategic situation: the pursuit of politico-military advantages, the formal creation of crisis stability, and the transformation of international relations. In the last decade, the overall political focus has shifted once again to the first factor. Amidst new strategic competition, states are increasingly unwilling to agree to arms control regulations and transparency measures, as these could yield advantages to adversaries.

show abstract

To Compete or Retreat? The Global Diffusion of Precision Strike

Cited by 3 publications

References 23 publications

Global Missile Proliferation: Challenges and Solutions

Global Missile Proliferation: Challenges and Solutions

Who Gets Smart? Explaining How Precision Bombs Proliferate

Beyond Stability: The politics of conventional arms control in Europe

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About