To Leave or Not to Leave? Climate Change, Exit, and Voice on a Pacific Island

Noy, Ilan

doi:10.1093/cesifo/ifx004

Cited by 31 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…2 Noy (2017) documents this phenomenon of immobile populations in the specific case of Tuvalu. Koubi et al (2018) find negative econometric effects of slow (droughts and salinity) and extreme vent (floods and storms) factors for a subset of individuals in five developing countries.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 92%

“…Noy (2017) documents this phenomenon of immobile populations in the specific case of Tuvalu Koubi et al (2018). find negative econometric effects of slow (droughts and salinity) and fast onset (floods and storms) factors for a subset of individuals in five developing countries.3 Beine and Parsons (2017) emphasize this distinction, arguing that failure to find some significant displacement effects might be due to the fact that some papers look at the partial effects of climatic shocks on top of those on other determinants of mobility.…”

mentioning

confidence: 89%

“…In that respect, we exclude papers studying the possible effects based on quantitative models of migration [see for instance Burzynski et al (2018)] even though they estimate a subset of the parameters used to simulate expected impacts of projected climatic conditions. We also exclude papers that make use of migration and climatic data but that do not make use of econometric regressions, such as Dun (2011), Findley (1994, or Noy (2017). Second, among the econometric analyses, we exclude papers whose main focus is not the connection between mobility and climate change.…”

Section: Coding the Estimation Techniquementioning

confidence: 99%

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A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration

Beine

Jeusette

2021

J. Dem. Econ.

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Recent surveys of the literature on climate change and migration emphasize the important diversity of outcomes and approaches of the empirical studies. In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis in order to investigate the role of the methodological choices of these empirical studies in finding some particular results concerning the role of climatic factors as drivers of human mobility. We code 51 papers representative of the literature in terms of methodological approaches. This results in the coding of more than 85 variables capturing the methodology of the main dimensions of the analysis at the regression level. These dimensions include authors' reputation, type of mobility, measures of mobility, type of data, context of the study, econometric methods, and last but not least measures of the climatic factors. We look at the influence of these characteristics on the probability of finding any effect of climate change, a displacement effect, an increase in immobility, and evidence in favor of a direct vs. an indirect effect. Our results highlight the role of some important methodological choices, such as the frequency of the data on mobility, the level of development, the measures of human mobility and of the climatic factors as well as the econometric methodology.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 92%

mentioning

confidence: 89%

Section: Coding the Estimation Techniquementioning

confidence: 99%

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A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration

Beine

Jeusette

2021

J. Dem. Econ.

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“…This is because liquidity constraints are binding in the context of incomplete markets that are most commonly found in less developed countries. Furthermore, environmental shocks can also inhibit migration by increasing financial barriers to migration (Phan & Coxhead, 2010;Noy, 2017), which typically requires a costly upfront investment. This is especially burdensome for the poor, who have fewer assets to mitigate the adverse impacts of environmental shocks, including fewer means to finance migration journeys.…”

Section: Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Left home high and dry-reduced migration in response to repeated droughts in Thailand and Vietnam

2021

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We investigate the extent to which droughts impact migration responses of rural households in Thailand and Vietnam, as well as the role of underlying mechanisms such as risk aversion and socioeconomic status that may affect the response. We combine longitudinal household data from the Thailand Vietnam Socio Economic Panel from 2007 to 2017 with monthly high-resolution (0.5°) rainfall and temperature data from the Global Historical Climatology Network Version 2 and the Climate Anomaly Monitoring System (respectively) to characterize droughts at the sub-district level. We find that exposure to two consecutive years of moderate drought decreases household participation in migration by 5.3 percentage points (11.1% of the mean). Analysis of underlying mechanisms highlights the role of socioeconomic status in shaping these reductions in migration. While drought exposure substantially erodes socioeconomic status and increases risk aversion, it is deteriorations in consumption and assets per capita that appear to shape the negative effect of droughts on migration. This pattern is consistent with the presence of an environmentally induced poverty trap, whereby exposure to climate shocks directly and indirectly reduces rural population mobility, particularly among poorer households.

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“…Fenua may explain why some Tuvaluans are unwilling to consider migration, let alone relocation due to strong place attachment and perceived risks to sovereignty and cultural identity (Mortreux and Barnett 2009). Such findings could explain why a range of adaptation measures are being pursued in Kiribati aside from migration (Allgood and McNamara 2017) and why people in Tuvalu may stay and Bvoice^their concerns about climate change, as opposed to 'exit' (Noy 2017).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Culture, climate change and mobility decisions in Pacific Small Island Developing States

Oakes

2019

Popul Environ

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The Pacific Small Island Developing States are often considered on the frontline of climate change due to high levels of exposure to climate-related hazards and limited adaptive capacity to respond. In this context, Pacific Islanders may be displaced, or choose to migrate to escape risk and find more secure livelihoods. On the other hand, Pacific political and community leaders stress that mobility can be a threat to sovereignty and culture and should only be considered as a last resort. This paper adopts a cultural ecology framing to gain a greater understanding of these contested local discourses on climate change and human mobility in Kiribati, Tuvalu and Nauru through the use of the Q method. The results reveal a range of shared subjective understandings of climate change and human mobility which show that reasons for, and perceived outcomes of moving are inextricably linked. These subjective understandings highlight that culture, and in particular how Islanders relate to land and religion can influence decision-making, promoting or hindering mobility. The findings therefore support the need for further engagement with communities to recognise and validate their positions on climate change and human mobility to facilitate the planning and implementation of effective policy.

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To Leave or Not to Leave? Climate Change, Exit, and Voice on a Pacific Island

Cited by 31 publications

References 38 publications

A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration

A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration

Left home high and dry-reduced migration in response to repeated droughts in Thailand and Vietnam

Culture, climate change and mobility decisions in Pacific Small Island Developing States

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