To obey or not to obey? Can game theory explain human behavior in the context of coronavirus disease?

Arbel, Yuval; Arbel, Yifat; Kerner, Amichai; Kerner, Miryam

doi:10.1111/rode.12979

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…4 demonstrates a Pearson correlation of 100% between the theoretical and actual Benford distribution. As Arbel et al (2022Arbel et al ( , 2023 and Pablos-Méndez et al (2022) indicate, in addition to median age, significant correlates of COVID-19 infection and mortality in countries with at least 1 million population was the democracy index. In autocratic countries, there is more compliance with the COVID-19 restrictions due to a fear of the regime.…”

Section: Robustness Testsmentioning

confidence: 97%

What is the optimal country for minimum COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates?

Arbel

Kerner

et al. 2023

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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The SARS-CoV-2 is a deceptive virus. Despite the remarkable progress in genetic sequencing and subsequent vaccine development, the world continues to grapple with the ominous threats of rapidly appearing SARS-CoV-2 variants. The objective of this manuscript is to rank world countries based on the anticipated scope of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, measured in terms of prevalence per 1 million persons, from the lowest to the highest. The ranking of 162 countries is based on predictions of empirical models, which include three explanatory variables: hospital beds per thousand persons, population density, and the median age of the country's population. Referring to the COVID-19 scope of morbidity, the lowest likelihood of infection is obtained in Niger and Mali, where the dominant characteristic is the young median age (15.1-16.4 years). Referring to the COVID-19 scope of mortality, the lowest likelihood is obtained in Singapore. For Singapore, the dominant feature is the high population density. The optimal solution is intensive vaccination campaigns in the initial phase of the pandemic, particularly among countries with low GDP per capita. Yet, vaccinations may work only where the personal immune system is healthy and thus respond by creating antibodies to the SARS-CoV2 virus. Referring to populations that lack the natural protection of the healthy immune system and thus cannot be vaccinated (e.g., old people, cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy treatments), a complementary solution might be coordination between countries and the establishment of field hospitals, testing laboratories, isolation of areas, humanitarian aid-in the same manner of treatment in other disasters like earthquakes.

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Section: Robustness Testsmentioning

confidence: 97%

What is the optimal country for minimum COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates?

Arbel

Kerner

et al. 2023

Environ Sci Pollut Res

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Their research delves into the strategic interactions within the population over time, shedding light on the long-term stability of equilibrium points in intervention adoption. Arbel et al [ 63 ] utilized evolutionary game theory to probe into noncompliance with social distancing rules in Western societies, emphasizing the influence of law enforcement efficiency. Their analysis uncovers potential equilibrium solutions, showcasing the tendency towards defection in the absence of robust enforcement mechanisms.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Enhancing vaccination strategies for epidemic control through effective lockdown measures

Chakraborty,

Kabir

2024

Heliyon

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“…Due to negative attitudes, stigma and other geopolitical factors, promoting a universal mask-wearing policy has always been a challenging task [ 31 ]. A recent analysis suggests that the efficacy of law enforcement in promoting compliance with health guidelines during the COVID-19 pandemic varies significantly across different political systems, with autocratic countries showing higher efficiency [ 32 ]. Meng et al [ 33 ] applied evolutionary game theory to investigate the evolution of vaccination strategies, highlighting the need to communicate the positive and negative consequences of infection and vaccination to shape behaviors that mitigate the final epidemic size.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing evolutionary game theory in epidemic management: A study on social distancing and mask-wearing strategies

Nabi,

Ovi,

Kabir

2024

PLoS ONE

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When combating a respiratory disease outbreak, the effectiveness of protective measures hinges on spontaneous shifts in human behavior driven by risk perception and careful cost-benefit analysis. In this study, a novel concept has been introduced, integrating social distancing and mask-wearing strategies into a unified framework that combines evolutionary game theory with an extended classical epidemic model. To yield deeper insights into human decision-making during COVID-19, we integrate both the prevalent dilemma faced at the epidemic’s onset regarding mask-wearing and social distancing practices, along with a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis. We explore the often-overlooked aspect of effective mask adoption among undetected infectious individuals to evaluate the significance of source control. Both undetected and detected infectious individuals can significantly reduce the risk of infection for non-masked individuals by wearing effective facemasks. When the economical burden of mask usage becomes unsustainable in the community, promoting affordable and safe social distancing becomes vital in slowing the epidemic’s progress, allowing crucial time for public health preparedness. In contrast, as the indirect expenses associated with safe social distancing escalate, affordable and effective facemask usage could be a feasible option. In our analysis, it was observed that during periods of heightened infection risk, there is a noticeable surge in public interest and dedication to complying with social distancing measures. However, its impact diminishes beyond a certain disease transmission threshold, as this strategy cannot completely eliminate the disease burden in the community. Maximum public compliance with social distancing and mask-wearing strategies can be achieved when they are affordable for the community. While implementing both strategies together could ultimately reduce the epidemic’s effective reproduction number (R e) to below one, countries still have the flexibility to prioritize either of them, easing strictness on the other based on their socio-economic conditions.

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To obey or not to obey? Can game theory explain human behavior in the context of coronavirus disease?

Cited by 4 publications

References 22 publications

What is the optimal country for minimum COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates?

What is the optimal country for minimum COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates?

Enhancing vaccination strategies for epidemic control through effective lockdown measures

Analyzing evolutionary game theory in epidemic management: A study on social distancing and mask-wearing strategies

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