2020
DOI: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2019.10.015
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Tolerance of Uncertainty and the Practice of Emergency Medicine

Abstract: Medicine is a science of uncertainty and an art of probability.-William Osler 1 Reduction of uncertainty is essential to the practice of medicine, but elimination of uncertainty is impossible.-Benjamin Djulbegovic and Sander Greenland 2 Uncertainty is inherent in the practice of medicine. Dermatologists can never be completely certain that a benign-appearing skin lesion is not a skin cancer; radiologists cannot be certain that changes on a chest radiograph are the result of pneumonia. No diagnostic test is 100… Show more

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Cited by 23 publications
(20 citation statements)
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“…Emergency physicians report high work pressure, long working shifts, increasing patient volumes and acuity of problems, staff shortages, and often a chaotic work environment characterized by unpredictability. 1,2 Recent reviews of work stress in emergency physicians show that higher levels of stress (in excess of 60%) are reported compared to physicians in general (38%), which can be attributed to the stressful work conditions but also to high psychological demands, lack of job control, and poor social support, despite a relatively high job satisfaction. 1,3,4 Johnston et al stated that autonomy and teamwork might buffer these adverse well-being-health consequences.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Emergency physicians report high work pressure, long working shifts, increasing patient volumes and acuity of problems, staff shortages, and often a chaotic work environment characterized by unpredictability. 1,2 Recent reviews of work stress in emergency physicians show that higher levels of stress (in excess of 60%) are reported compared to physicians in general (38%), which can be attributed to the stressful work conditions but also to high psychological demands, lack of job control, and poor social support, despite a relatively high job satisfaction. 1,3,4 Johnston et al stated that autonomy and teamwork might buffer these adverse well-being-health consequences.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We also included professional well-being consequences including psychological strain (subjective fatigue and stress: anxiety and depression) and other important job-related outcomes in emergency medicine personnel such as job satisfaction, work engagement, and turnover intention. 2,11 To our knowledge, this is the first study on the well-being consequences in emergency physicians that is based on such an extended model, assessing both work conditions and environmental and organizational work characteristics as determinants of relevant professional well-being outcomes. [7][8][9]…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…That primary care clinicians must develop skills to manage it has been noted elsewhere, particularly in terms of reducing stress and preventing over-investigation ( 3 , 42 , 43 ). Teaching in medical school engrains the idea that there is a single correct answer, and that certainty is always obtainable—this is not the reality in practice, and several papers have called for changes to be made to medical training to reflect this ( 2 , 3 , 44 ). Empirical studies support the idea that medical training does not adequately cover the communication of uncertainty to patients ( 36 , 38 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Emergency physicians are required to make complex, cognitively challenging decisions regarding diagnostic assessment and management of patients in a crowded, time-constrained environment [ 23 ]. The development of clinical practice guidelines and decision aids is aimed at reducing practice variation and improving patient outcomes, while simultaneously minimizing unnecessary and potentially harmful testing.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%