“…Four trials underestimated the actual outcome (A/E ratio of >1.25), Eleven trials were accurate (A/E ratio of 0.75‐1.25), and 5 trials overestimated the outcome (A/E ratio of 0.75) (Table 2). 12, 14, 17, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46 The A/E ratios ranged from 0.5 to 1.6, with a mean and median ratio of 1.0 and 1.0, respectively (Fig. 3).…”