“…The approach used here is based on a subset of well-stablished behavioural theories, such as the action-regulation-theory [2], the high-performance-cycle [3], the theory of planned behaviour [4], the self-determination theory [5], and the social cognitive theory [6] translated into an integrated probabilistic model of behaviour [7] enabling the sampling, and therefore probabilistic prediction, of identified behaviour relevant parameters (see Figure 1). This model provides us with the tools and inventories to derive the potential of intention ν which is the probability that an occupant will act on a BDR trigger sent [8]. In the following we will discuss how this can be combined with a generic building/network model to derive the expected BDR impact.…”