Tracking the effect of climatic and non-climatic elements on rice production in Pakistan using the ARDL approach

Gul, Amber; Wu, Xiumin; Chandio, Abbas Ali; Rehman, Abdul; Siyal, Sajid Ali; Asare, Isaac

doi:10.1007/s11356-022-18541-3

Cited by 44 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 59 publications

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“…Agricultural production has decreased due to climatic factors such as precipitation, carbon emission, and temperature variation (Gul et al, 2022;Haile et al, 2017). It harms the agriculture sector, enhancing the vulnerability among farmers (small, semi-medium, and medium) whose well-being and standard of living depend on agricultural activities in developing nations (Abbas 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It harms the agriculture sector, enhancing the vulnerability among farmers (small, semi-medium, and medium) whose well-being and standard of living depend on agricultural activities in developing nations (Abbas 2021). Climate change's effect may differ from county to country depending on geographic position and degrades the performance of the agriculture sector and its allied activities in developing countries (Abbas 2021;Gul et al 2022;Nath & Behera 2011). Developing countries are more profound than developed nations due to a high dependency on food production for sustenance, a de ciency of technical innovation, and an absence of climate uncertainty adaptation strategies for agriculture production (Hossain et al, 2022;Warsame et al, 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climate change may distress food supply and its security by impeding agriculture production and productivity in one way or the other (Gul et al, 2022;Hossain et al, 2022). However, it has worldwide consequences, and its destructive effects are anticipated to be draconian in India's agro-climate zones.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Agriculture production is directly affected by changes in meteorological elements such as temperature (AT), CO 2, and rainfall patterns (Abbas et al, 2021;Res et al, 1998). Global warming and heat waves created challenges for developing countries due to a lack of environmental strategies and policies (Alharthi et al, 2021;Gul et al, 2022). The production of food grain and cultivated area trends are shown in Fig.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Further, according to them, increasing and decreasing shock in mean temperature and precipitation negatively and positively affect wheat and rice, respectively. Similarly,Gul et al (2022) stated that carbon emission and precipitation have positively in uenced rice production in Pakistan Chandio et al (2022a). emphasized carbon emission and hot temperature and argued that both meteorological factors deteriorated the performance of rice production.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Addressing the effect of meteorological factors and agricultural subsidy on agricultural productivity in India: A roadmap towards environmental sustainability

Baig

Irfan

Salam

et al. 2022

Preprint

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In the last two decades, the extensive literature that has measured agricultural productivity and growth rate remains controversial and provides few strategies about its main determinants. The present study aims to find out the key determinants of food grain yield (FGY) and examine the role of climate change and agricultural subsidy (SUB) in the context of India using annually data spanning from 1991 to 2018. The current study applied the ARDL modelling to investigate the impacts of climatic factors (average rainfall (RF), mean temperature (AT), and carbon emission (CO2) and agricultural subsidy (SUB) on food grain yield (FGY) in the short-and long-term in India. The estimated outcomes indicate that climatic factors such as RF have a positive impact while AT and CO2 have a negative effect on FGY. Similarly, non-climate variables such as gross capital formation (GCF) and fertilizer usage (FERT) positively contributed to FGY, while the area under crop (LUC), SUB, and employment (AL) negatively affected FGY in India. The results from Granger causality divulge that climatic and non-climatic elements are the main determinants of food grain yield, which have been playing play a significant role in enhancing food grain production and ensuring food security in India. Based on empirical outcomes and findings, some key policy implications emerged. Precisely, government and policy developers should focus on technological innovation and precision agriculture to increase agriculture production and productivity. Government should create funds to curb the climate change problem and promote eco-friendly renewable energy.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Addressing the effect of meteorological factors and agricultural subsidy on agricultural productivity in India: A roadmap towards environmental sustainability

Baig

Irfan

Salam

et al. 2022

Preprint

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What hurt the most? Assessing the influence of pollution and climate change on agricultural sustainability in Asia

Ramzan

2023

Sustainable Development

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Agriculture faces unprecedented abiotic and biotic stressors due to climate change and environmental contamination. This consequence serves as a severe warning to our society and a challenge to balance sustainable production with rapid population growth. However, prior studies have not explored how pollution and climate change affect agricultural sustainability individually, particularly in Asia. To do so, we examined the analytical linkages between environmental degradation, climate change, governance, and agriculture in Asian countries. To quantify the long-term estimates, the study employs a fresh econometric approach, such as the generalized method of moments and quantile regression, to test the robustness of all diagnostic checks, notably with the contemplation of outliers performed. The results of panel cointegration tests confirm the long-term interactions between sustainable agriculture and its determinants. Besides this, it is inferred that governance quality, agricultural land, fertilizers, and stock led to increased agricultural production, whereas carbon emissions and temperature change hurt agricultural performance. Moreover, it is asserted that all predictors have a significant predictive capacity for both measures of agricultural sustainability. These findings are the foundation for a comprehensive set of policies designed to achieve Sustainable Development Agenda 2, 8, and 13 through agricultural sustainability.

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How agricultural technologies and climatic factors affect India's crop production? A roadmap towards sustainable agriculture

Baig

Irfan

Aarif

et al. 2023

Sustainable Development

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This study aims to explore the long‐term (LT) and short‐term (ST) effects of meteorological factors and technological advancement on major crop production, that is, wheat, and rice, in India from 1990 to 2020. For this purpose, the authors also used other important controlled variables, that is, agriculture employment (AE), agricultural credit (AC), and cultivated land (AUR/AUW). For the estimation of data series, the study employed robust econometric techniques, such as the ARDL, FMOLS, and CCR framework. Empirical results reveal the long‐term relationship among meteorological factors, agricultural technologies, and major crop production (wheat and rice). In the case of meteorological factors, rainfall (RF) and carbon emission (CO2) have a positive and negative impact on wheat and rice production, while the mean temperature is negatively related to rice production and positively related to wheat production. Whereas agricultural technologies, such as fertilizer usage and farm machinery, improve wheat and rice crop production. The long‐term (LT) estimated findings are confirmed by econometric techniques such as FMOLS and CCR. The government should adopt necessary measures to achieve sustainable production and develop resilient hybrid seeds of rice and wheat that are well‐suited to agro‐climatic conditions in order to mitigate environmental degradation.

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Tracking the effect of climatic and non-climatic elements on rice production in Pakistan using the ARDL approach

Cited by 44 publications

References 59 publications

Addressing the effect of meteorological factors and agricultural subsidy on agricultural productivity in India: A roadmap towards environmental sustainability

Addressing the effect of meteorological factors and agricultural subsidy on agricultural productivity in India: A roadmap towards environmental sustainability

What hurt the most? Assessing the influence of pollution and climate change on agricultural sustainability in Asia

How agricultural technologies and climatic factors affect India's crop production? A roadmap towards sustainable agriculture

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