Trade-Off Relationship of Arable and Ecological Land in Urban Growth When Altering Urban Form: A Case Study of Shenzhen, China

Dai, Kaixuan; Shen, Shi; Cheng, Changxiu; Ye, Sijing; Gao, Peichao

doi:10.3390/su122310041

Cited by 11 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 74 publications

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“…Land use/-cover change (LUCC) models are effective tools to analysis the process of land-use dynamics and support decision makings (Verburg et al, 2004). By establishing the relationship between land use dynamic and its driving factors, LUCC models explicitly simulate the spatiotemporal configuration of land use/-cover change (LULC) (Santé et al, 2010), which are widely applied to issues related to climate change, ecosystem services, disaster prevention, territorial planning (Feng et al, 2011;Lawrence et al, 2016;Liang et al, 2018;Dai et al, 2020;Jiang et al, 2021), and etc.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

WITHDRAWN: STAPLE: A land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution

Geng

Cheng

Shen

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Cellular automata (CA) based models are among the practical tools to simulate the spatiotemporal evolution of landscape induced by the land use/-cover change (LUCC). Existing models have been struggling to comprehensively handle the intricate spatiotemporal driving relationships amid the nonlinear LUCC process, inevitably leaving obstacles to promote the simulation accuracy. Besides, the landscape patterns, which are both the causes and consequences of various ecological processes, are not considered in most models, making them struggled to support the decision making on regional development strategies. Aiming at overcoming these obstacles, a novel land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution (STAPLE) is proposed in this paper. A potential generating module establishing the nonlinear spatiotemporal driving relationship and a spatial allocating module employing a landscape-based CA are integrated for a more realistic LUCC simulation. As a case study, the proposed model is applied in Zhengzhou, China to assess its performance. It is indicated that the STAPLE model achieved a higher simulation accuracy compared with the degraded models. Moreover, the landscape properties, i.e., the compactness and proximity of the patches, are effectively manipulated, which is verified by calculating the corresponding landscape indices. Furthermore, the STAPLE model is applied to explore a low-ecological-risk landscape under different future scenarios in 2035 and 2050. An infilling and remote development strategy is beneficial for Zhengzhou to control the landscape ecological risk induced by urban expansion. The STAPLE model provides a reproducible tool for policy-makers to support decision-making and achieve sustainable development.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

WITHDRAWN: STAPLE: A land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution

Geng

Cheng

Shen

et al. 2023

Preprint

Self Cite

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“…They are lower and grow more slowly in the exurbs, specifically in Dujiangyan and Qionglai, and they are lower in Dayi and Qionglai. Boltzmann entropy shows the system stats [52]; it can reflect the fuzzy degree of th types of built-up land. The larger Boltzmann entropy indicates the system is fuzzier, research shows that Boltzmann entropy of built-up land in the suburbs generally hig which means that the boundary between three types of built-up land in the suburb fuzzier than that in the exurbs, i.e., the three types of built-up land are more integrate the suburbs.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measurement of Urban–Rural Integration Level in Suburbs and Exurbs of Big Cities Based on Land-Use Change in Inland China: Chengdu

Wang

Yang

Guo

2021

Land

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Urban growth and development can be interpreted as a combined process of “urban spillover” and “local urban sprawl”, from overall urban–rural development to urban–rural integration (URI). The process of suburban development in western China is a complex system, which reflects the characteristics of industrialization and urbanization in western China. Chengdu is the most representative of the big cities for economic and social structure change in western China. To analyze the changes on URI degree based on the built-up land change, and to explore the practical URI paths in both the suburbs and exurbs of Chengdu, we use land-use remote-sensing monitoring data from 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2015 in this paper, whereafter URI indexes are built from space, economy, and society. The land-use change of the suburbs and exurbs of Chengdu from 2000 to 2015 are analyzed by ArcGIS. Results indicate that the biggest growth part of built-up land is other built-up land, followed by commercial/industrial land, and the last is residential land. The built-up land spreads quickly from 2000 to 2005, and shows distinct separation characteristics in the suburbs of Chengdu. It is relatively slow in the exurbs. Moreover, built-up land connects better in the suburbs than in the exurbs. Based on the change of built-up land in Chengdu from 2000 to 2015, spatial integration data are calculated, economic integration and social integration data are chosen from statistics, and the change of URI levels in the suburbs and exurbs of Chengdu is calculated. The results show that first, economic integration and social integration have great influence on URI, and their effects are increasing. The significance of spatial integration in URI has gradually reduced. Second, URI levels in counties of the suburbs and exurbs of Chengdu rose from 2000 to 2015, more highly in the suburbs than in the exurbs. URI in counties of the exurbs showed a marked difference. URI in the southeast counties of the exurbs is generally high. The foundation of URI is weaker in the counties and districts in the southwest counties of the exurbs in Chengdu, but it is growing steadily in URI, and the northern counties in the exurbs of Chengdu are in the process of rapid URI. The paths of URI in the suburbs and exurbs in Chengdu can be roughly divided into an industry-developing model in the suburbs, service-industry-developing model in the suburbs, agriculture-developing model in the exurbs, service-industry-developing model in the exurbs and infrastructure-developing model in the exurbs.

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“…A series of policies and measures have been launched by the central government, such as the strategy for the rise of central China, which is a plan to build the capital city of Henan into a national central city (similar to Beijing and Shanghai), and the high-quality economic development of the Yellow River Basin. As a result, land-use conflicts have become increasingly prevalent in Henan, so trade-offs should be considered (e.g., Jin et al, 2018;Sun et al, 2018;Peng et al, 2019a;2019b;Wang et al, 2019b;Dai et al, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring detailed urban-rural development under intersecting population growth and food production scenarios: Trajectories for China’s most populous agricultural province to 2030

et al. 2023

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Henan, China, is likely the most populous agricultural province worldwide. It is China's major grain-producing area, with a continuously increasing population (96 million), which is greater than 93% of countries worldwide. However, this province has been experiencing unprecedented urbanization recently due to national policies and measures, such as a plan to build the capital city of Henan into a national center, resulting in severe conflicts in land use that endanger food security regionally and globally. To facilitate decision-making on this problem, we explored the detailed urban-rural development of Henan by modeling these land-use conflicts. Conventional modeling of a region's urban-rural development is to navigate trade-offs (a) solely between different land-use types (b) by assuming that each type provides a single service (e.g., croplands produce all the food), and (c) under a polynomial regression-based projection of population. In contrast, we considered both land-use type and intensity, resulting in a detailed land system for Henan. By introducing the concept of land system services (e.g., food production), we established a many-to-many relationship between land system classes and services. These allowed us to carry out the most comprehensive modeling of Henan's urban-rural development under eighteen combined scenarios of population growth and land-use policies on food production. The modeling results of these scenarios provide a solid basis for making decisions regarding Henan's urban-rural development. We also revealed the influence mechanism of population growth, land-use policies, and their combinations, highlighting the benefits of securing food production by agricultural intensification rather than merely expanding the area of cropland.

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Trade-Off Relationship of Arable and Ecological Land in Urban Growth When Altering Urban Form: A Case Study of Shenzhen, China

Cited by 11 publications

References 74 publications

WITHDRAWN: STAPLE: A land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution

WITHDRAWN: STAPLE: A land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution

Measurement of Urban–Rural Integration Level in Suburbs and Exurbs of Big Cities Based on Land-Use Change in Inland China: Chengdu

Exploring detailed urban-rural development under intersecting population growth and food production scenarios: Trajectories for China’s most populous agricultural province to 2030

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