Trade Policy and Food Security: Improving Access to Food in Developing Countries in the Wake of High World Prices

Gillson, Ian; Fouad, Amir

doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-0305-5

Cited by 15 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…As explained, the consumption of agricultural commodities by households shows a high demand for food commodities that surpasses the supply. If the status quo remains, the consequences are a high rate of hunger, poor health (immune deficiencies, diseases, malnutrition and mortality), an increase in the government budget for social protection programmes and food banks and food aid from development and international partners (Republic of The Gambia, 2019Gambia, , 2013Gillson and Fouad, 2014;World Integrated Trade Solution, 2022;GBoS, 2015).…”

Section: Baseline Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the Gambia’s agriculture sector: a CGE approach

Belford

Delin

Ahmed

et al. 2022

IJCCSM

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Purpose Climate change and its imminent threat to human survival adversely impact the agriculture sector. In an impoverished country like The Gambia, economic costs of climate change are colossal. This study aims to establish a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for The Gambia’s agriculture sector to examine the effects of climate change on crops, livestock and sea-level rise. Design/methodology/approach This study used a CGE model with other climate change impact models to compute the impacts of climate change on The Gambia’s agriculture sector. The social accounting matrix calibrates the results from the various models, thereby generating the baseline results which exemplify a “steady-state” and policy shock results illustrating the medium- and long-term effects of climate change on the country’s agriculture sector. Findings The baseline results indicate the status quo showing the neglect of the agriculture sector due to limited investment in the sector. Hence, the sector is the “hardest hit” sector as a result of climate change. When the model factored in climate change in the medium term (2055) and long term (2085), the macroeconomic indicators of gross domestic product, national savings, wages, disposable income and consumer price index deteriorated, elucidating the vulnerability of the economy to climate change. The consumption of groundnuts, cattle and fish will decline by 5%, 5% and 4%, respectively, in the long term. However, the production of all agricultural commodities will decline by an average of 35% for the same period. The results for international trade show that exportation would decline while importation will increase over time. The general price level for agricultural commodities would increase by 3% in 2055 and 5% in 2085. Generally, the results manifest the severity of climate change in the agriculture sector which will have a multiplier effect on the economy. The impact of climate change would result in agriculture and economic decline causing hunger, poverty and human misery. Originality/value The caveat of this study revealed the nuances not captured by previous Gambian climate change studies, thus the novelty of the study.

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Section: Baseline Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the Gambia’s agriculture sector: a CGE approach

Belford

Delin

Ahmed

et al. 2022

IJCCSM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Between 1995 and 2018, global agricultural and food trade has more than doubled 1 , with 20% of globally consumed calories derived from food imports 2 . This has contributed to reduced food insecurity globally by connecting surplus regions with those of deficit, ensuring year-round access to food, mitigating potential weather-related local food price shocks, and lowering food prices [3][4][5] . Food security is comprised of four key pillars: food availability, food access, food utilization, and their stability 6 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cost drivers of international grains and oilseeds trade

Verschuur,

Vittis,

Obersteiner

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Despite the importance of international trade for food security, high production costs and trade frictions are still prevalent, contributing to regional heterogeneities in the landed cost of food commodities. Here, we quantify the landed cost for six grain commodities across 3,500 subnational regions. We find large heterogeneities in the costs of imported foods, which are highest in Oceania, Central America and landlocked Africa. While some regions have uniform landed costs across sourcing locations, others face large cost spreads across trading partners causing volatility in food prices. Regions with high transport costs are more sensitive to price shocks to food production/transport inputs. We find that most regions could benefit from a targeted approach to reduce landed cost while others benefit from a mixed strategies approach. Our results highlight that spatial information on production, trade and transport is essential to inform policies aiming to build an efficient and resilient global food system.

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