TrafPS: A shapley-based visual analytics approach to interpret traffic

Abstract

Recent achievements in deep learning (DL) have demonstrated its potential in predicting traffic flows. Such predictions are beneficial for understanding the situation and making traffic control decisions. However, most state-of-the-art DL models are considered “black boxes” with little to no transparency of the underlying mechanisms for end users. Some previous studies attempted to “open the black box” and increase the interpretability of generated predictions. However, handling complex models on large-scale spatiotemporal data and discovering salient spatial and temporal patterns that significantly influence traffic flow remain challenging. To overcome these challenges, we present TrafPS, a visual analytics approach for interpreting traffic prediction outcomes to support decision-making in traffic management and urban planning. The measurements region SHAP and trajectory SHAP are proposed to quantify the impact of flow patterns on urban traffic at different levels. Based on the task requirements from domain experts, we employed an interactive visual interface for the multi-aspect exploration and analysis of significant flow patterns. Two real-world case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of TrafPS in identifying key routes and providing decision-making support for urban planning.