“…Some of the longest published follow‐ups of heavy drinkers and those with AUDs used mortality data as the ultimate adverse outcome (Haver et al., ; Kendler et al., ; Lundin et al., ); however, these evaluations rarely included baseline predictors. Studies that included a wider range of baseline predictors of outcomes often involved relatively modest‐sized samples, focused on trajectories over time rather than predictors of individual outcomes, and/or used secondary analyses of other samples that often had limited available baseline information (Gonçalves et al., ; Jacob et al., ; Penick et al., ; Upah et al., ; Vaillant, ).…”