2018
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciy623
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Transformation Morphisms and Time-to-Extinction Analysis That Map Therapy Duration From Preclinical Models to Patients With Tuberculosis: Translating From Apples to Oranges

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Cited by 26 publications
(73 citation statements)
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“…When coupled with complex and caseous granuloma structure with impaired vascular supply, this can lead to longer sterilization times using standard HRZE TB therapy (Figure 7). Other models using various experimental data, including hollow fiber experiments, show that low drug exposure can lead to decreased rates in bacterial killing (Srivastava and Gumbo, 2011), and have used variability in PK to predict variability in required treatment durations (Magombedze et al, 2018). The model we present builds on these findings by providing the ability to simulate sterilization in a granuloma, while accounting for human-based PK variability and granuloma structure.…”
Section: Cicchese Et Almentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When coupled with complex and caseous granuloma structure with impaired vascular supply, this can lead to longer sterilization times using standard HRZE TB therapy (Figure 7). Other models using various experimental data, including hollow fiber experiments, show that low drug exposure can lead to decreased rates in bacterial killing (Srivastava and Gumbo, 2011), and have used variability in PK to predict variability in required treatment durations (Magombedze et al, 2018). The model we present builds on these findings by providing the ability to simulate sterilization in a granuloma, while accounting for human-based PK variability and granuloma structure.…”
Section: Cicchese Et Almentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Of the 2 penultimate articles, the first provides the derivation of an approach that could be used to predict optimal clinical therapy duration, starting in the HFS-TB, while the second applied the approach to high-dose group D drugs plus moxifloxacin HFS-TB findings to determine whether therapy duration could be shortened to <6 months [58,59]. The final article is an editorial on the supplement, which summarizes how the results could be used to advance dosing in the clinical setting [60].…”
Section: Organization Of the Special Supplement: Tinker Tailor Soldmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, on inspection the kill rate clearly plateaued off and could be broken into two curves, one with an exponential decline rate constant of 1.85 per day (half-life, 0.37 days), which is similar to the overall decline rate constant presented above, and a second terminal exponential decline rate constant of 0.06 per day (half-life, 12.76 days) with an r 2 value of Ͼ0.99. With the latter rates, it would take 284 days (about 9.3 months) for the bacterial population to decline to 10 Ϫ2 CFU/ml starting at this bacterial burden, which we have declined to bacterial population extinction elsewhere (37). If the starting bacterial burdens were increased 2.0 log 10 CFU/ml, then this would take about 369 days, or just over 1 year.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 86%