“…Yet, these schemes can have a substantial impact on individuals as they often not only affect the material conditions of imprisonment but can create feelings of unfairness, inequality, and a lack of procedural justice (Bottoms, 2003;Butler and Maruna, 2012;Crewe, 2009;Khan, 2016;Liebling, 2008;Liebling et al, 1999). In particular, concerns have been expressed that some groups may experience worse outcomes than others due to their race, ethnicity, religion, mental health, and/or relationships with staff (Butler and Maruna, 2012;Hutton, 2017;Khan, 2022;Lammy, 2017;Meyers et al, 2020;Ministry of Justice, 2008). Yet, while research has been conducted on people's lived experience of prison incentive schemes, the authors are not aware of any quantitative studies that have examined the factors related to people's future status on such schemes, whereby status refers to their trajectory within the different regime levels in these schemes.…”