Tren perkembangan, kondisi, permasalahan, strategi, dan prediksi komoditas peternakan Indonesia (2010-2030)

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah menganalisis tren perkembangan populasi dan produksi berbagai komoditas ternak di Indonesia sehingga dapat menggambarkan peluang dan tantangan serta strategi efisiensi produksi nasional. Metode penelitian ini adalah analisis deskriptif kuantitatif dan peramalan menggunakan time series expert modeler data tahun 2010-2020. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa produtivitas selama 10 tahun terakhir masih tergolong rendah dan belum dapat memenuhi kebutuhan nasional. Prediksi populasi ternak cenderung meningkat kecuali sapi perah dan kerbau. Produksi daging total (ruminansia dan unggas) dan telur selama 10 tahun kedepan diperkirakan meningkat, namun produksi susu cenderung stagnan. Sistem usaha peternakan secara umum masih perlu ditingkatkan. Strategi peningkatan melalui optimalisasi integrasi pakan lokal, penyediaan bibit unggul, aplikasi teknologi adaptif, implementasi pola kemitraan dan optimalisasi wilayah strategis sesuai komoditas ternak. Perbaikan tersebut diharapkan dapat menyumbang peningkatan populasi ternak ruminansia dan ungags serta produksi nasional.

Artificial Neural Network Model Application for Validating and Predicting Ruminant Population in East Java, Indonesia

“…East Java is one place that has the potential to be developed for ruminants. East Java is one of the three provinces in Indonesia with the highest ruminant population [8] . Based on this information, East Java has the potential to become the government's focal point for ruminant livestock growth.…”

“…As a result, the East Java government wants a model to anticipate the number of ruminant livestock IOP Publishing doi:10.1088/1755-1315/1364/1/012007 2 populations in the future to develop policies to raise population. Several researchers in Indonesia have used various models such as ARIMA to predict the population, production, and consumption of several animal commodities [8,9] . Population forecasting was performed in this study utilizing ANN modeling.…”

The Carcass and Nutritional Meat Characteristics of Sapudi and Cross Merino Sheep

“…In East Java, many types of sheep are raised intensively in smallholder farms and medium-scale businesses. The sheep farming business in East Java is generally aimed at producing male sheep targeted for sale during the Eid al-Adha Feast of Sacrifice (Komariah et al, 2015), aqiqah, and fulfilling the demands of daily traders (satay and other processed lamb and sheep meat) (Widianingrum and Khasanah, 2021). Farmers in East Java Province raise fat-tailed sheep and crossbreed because they consider it has good productivity, adaptability, prolificacy, and good performance in fattening and crossbreeding.…”