Trump, Brexit, and the Rise of Populism: Economic Have-Nots and Cultural Backlash

Inglehart, Ronald; Norris, Pippa

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2818659

Cited by 1,247 publications

(1,106 citation statements)

References 42 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

1,010

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Analysis of the results of the Republican Party primaries conducted in early 2016 highlighted that support for Donald Trump was higher in areas with increased mortality in middle aged nonHispanic whites (Guo, 2016). Other post-election analyses have examined static health indicators (e.g., life expectancy or disease prevalence) (Inglehart and Norris, 2016), or an increase in 'deaths of despair' (Monnat, 2016) as predictors of Trump support, with analogous results to our study.…”

Section: Patient Involvementsupporting

confidence: 67%

Swing voting in the 2016 presidential election in counties where midlife mortality has been rising in white non-Hispanic Americans

Bilal

Knapp

Cooper

2018

Social Science & Medicine

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Understanding the effects of widespread disruption of the social fabric on public health outcomes can provide insight into the forces that drive major political realignment. Our objective was to estimate the association between increases in mortality in middle-aged non-Hispanic white adults from 1999-2005 to 2009-2015, health inequalities in life expectancy by income, and the surge in support for the Republican Party in pivotal US counties in the 2016 presidential election. We conducted a longitudinal ecological study in 2764 US counties from 1999 to 2016. Increases in mortality were measured using age-specific (45-54 years of age) all-cause mortality from

show abstract

Section: Patient Involvementsupporting

confidence: 67%

Swing voting in the 2016 presidential election in counties where midlife mortality has been rising in white non-Hispanic Americans

Bilal

Knapp

Cooper

2018

Social Science & Medicine

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…As these events unfolded the decline of the middle class accelerated, depressing median household incomes and economic security (DeNavas-Walt, Proctor, & Smith, 2012). Concurrently xenophobia, isolationism, nationalism, and economic populism began to resurge in the U.S., because of increased middle-class familial anxiety (Bonikowski, & DiMaggio, 2016;Goldstein, & Peters, 2014;Inglehart, & Norris, 2016). Today, the economic forecast is still an uncertain one for many U.S. families with less families qualifying as "middle class.…”

Section: Changes In the Economymentioning

confidence: 99%

Mothering in an Increasingly Uncertain Economic Marketplace: Revisiting the Call for Broader Conceptualizations of Parenthood and Paid Work

Paré¹

2017

Michigan Family Review

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Rather, they are antiestablishment in their platform and are clearly distinguished by their bias against immigrants, refugees and asylum seekers, particularly non-westerners. They tap into the sentiments of anxiety and disenchantment of segments of the locals who fear the cultural and economic consequences of migration (Inglehart andNorris 2016, Art 2011). Past empirical evidence suggests that electoral support of populist-right parties has largely been driven by concerns over large increases in immigration and asylum flows (Betz 1994, Knigge 1998, Ivarsflaten 2008, Swank and Betz 2003.…”

Section: Hypothesismentioning

confidence: 99%

Welfare Chauvinism? Refugee Flows and Electoral Support for Populist-Right Parties in Industrial Democracies

Vadlamannati

Kelly

2017

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract:In this paper we examine whether refugee flows are associated with an increase in electoral support for populist-right parties. The empirical evidence on this so far remains mixed. We argue that refugee inflows alone are an inaccurate predictor of the success of populist-right parties. Rather, refugee inflows can lead to a rise in electoral support for populist-right parties where traditional welfare states are expansive -the so called 'welfare chauvinism' argument, wherein natives already dependent on high levels of social welfare are likely to see refugees as interlopers who free-ride on welfare and thereby threaten the welfare of locals. Using panel data on 27 OECD countries during 1990-2014 period (25 years), we find no evidence to suggest that refugee inflows per se increase electoral support for populist-right parties. However, a positive effect of refugee inflows on electoral support for populist-right parties is conditional upon a higher degree of social welfare and unemployment benefit spending, which supports the propositions of 'welfare chauvinism.' Moreover, support for populist-right parties increase when the degree of labor market regulations and welfare spending is high. Our results are robust to alternative data, sample and estimation techniques.Keywords: Refugee flows, welfare state, and populist-right. ___________________________We thank Indra de Soysa for stimulating discussion on this topic. A moderately different version of this paper was presented at the BBQ conference (Heidelberg), VIP seminar series (Trondheim), SPIRe seminar series (Dublin) and we thank

show abstract

Trump, Brexit, and the Rise of Populism: Economic Have-Nots and Cultural Backlash

Cited by 1,247 publications

References 42 publications

Swing voting in the 2016 presidential election in counties where midlife mortality has been rising in white non-Hispanic Americans

Swing voting in the 2016 presidential election in counties where midlife mortality has been rising in white non-Hispanic Americans

Mothering in an Increasingly Uncertain Economic Marketplace: Revisiting the Call for Broader Conceptualizations of Parenthood and Paid Work

Welfare Chauvinism? Refugee Flows and Electoral Support for Populist-Right Parties in Industrial Democracies

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About