Truth claims and explanatory claims—An ontological typology of futures studies

Bergman, Ann; Karlsson, Jan Ch; Axelsson, Jonas

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2010.02.003

Cited by 62 publications

(80 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…Like Blackman (1994), he also declares that futures studies is to make more informed decisions and choices when trying to manage the processes of change, rather than as an engine for making predictions. As Bergman et al (2010) postulate, it is not that truth which is sought but, rather, an explanation that is relevant through those 'what ifs' asked as to how an event or phenomena could or might occur. Therefore, thinking the impossible as possibilities.…”

Section: Futuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Signals and Signposts of the Future: Literary Festival Consumption in 2050

Robertson¹,

Yeoman²

2014

Tourism Recreation Research

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This conceptual paper uses a scenario planning process to facilitate possible futures for literary festivals, a form of festival tourism that has grown rapidly in the developed and developing countries of the world in the early decades of the 21 st Century and which continues to grow towards 2050. The paper addresses this in the context of two significant cities, Shanghai -a megacity in China, and Melbourne, the capital city of Victoria, Australia. The paper offers two scenarios for literary festivals, one drawn from science fiction and the other from a process of prognosis. The aim of this work is to contribute to research in festival tourism studies by exploring the signposts and signals that may confer the future role, form and function of literature and the format and activity of literary festivals and literary festival tourism in a changing world. Utilizing Signals and Signposts, the work contributes to the body of work which seeks strategic responses to rapid change, rapid urbanization and possible zones of uncertainty that may await literary festivals and associated tourism and community activity in the future. Keywords

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Section: Futuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, liminality from a cognitive perspective links to uncertainty, being both unknown and or being science fiction (Bergman et al 2010). For some the pathway may be clear and technology better known.…”

Section: Driver 2: the Digital Revolutionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Signals and Signposts of the Future: Literary Festival Consumption in 2050

Robertson¹,

Yeoman²

2014

Tourism Recreation Research

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“…They identify and bind knowledge and form a framework to help researchers understand a particular phenomenon and thus make explanatory claims (Bergman et al, 2010). Essentially, conceptual frameworks are concepts explained in diagrammatical form and indicating relationships through connections.…”

Section: Conceptual Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Fourth, as mediating technologies in vision constitute a sexual economy in films like Peeping Tom (1960) and A Snake of June (2002). Bergman et al (2010) argue that science fiction is a portrayal of the future fundamentally using technology as the central feature to explain the impossible. Yeoman and Mars (2012) in the paper Robots, Men and Sex Tourism portray Amsterdam's red light district in 2050 where prostitutes are android sex workers who are clean of sexually transmitted infections.…”

Section: ) Notesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ping pong in Phuket: the intersections of tourism, porn and the future

Mars

Yeoman

McMahon‐Beattie

2017

JTF

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If you would like to write for this, or any other Emerald publication, then please use our Emerald for Authors service information about how to choose which publication to write for and submission guidelines are available for all. Please visit www.emeraldinsight.com/authors for more information. About Emerald www.emeraldinsight.comEmerald is a global publisher linking research and practice to the benefit of society. The company manages a portfolio of more than 290 journals and over 2,350 books and book series volumes, as well as providing an extensive range of online products and additional customer resources and services.Emerald is both COUNTER 4 and TRANSFER compliant. The organization is a partner of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE) and also works with Portico and the LOCKSS initiative for digital archive preservation. Design/methodology/approach -This paper explores the intersections of tourism, porn and the future as a conceptual framework. Findings -Four intersections are derived from the conceptual framework. Intersection 1, the Future of Tourism, portrays the evolution of tourism and explores its technological future. Interaction 2, Porn in Tourism, distinguishes between soft-and hard-core porn tourism. Intersection 3, Portraying Porn as a Future Dimension, delves into futurism, science fiction and fantasy. The fourth intersection, the Future Gaze, conveys the thrust of the paper by exploring how technological advancement blends with authenticity and reality. Thus the porn tourist seeks both the visual and the visceral pleasures of desire. The paper concludes with four future gazes of porn tourism, The Allure of Porn, The Porn Bubble, Porn as Liminal Experience and Hardcore. Originality/value -The originality of this paper is that this is the first paper to systematically examine porn tourism beyond sex tourism overlaying with a futures dimension. Porn tourists actively seek to experience both visual and visceral pleasures. Tourism and pornography both begin with the gaze. The gaze is an integral component of futures thinking. Technology is changing us, making us smarter, driving our thirst for liminal experiences. Like the transition from silent movies to talking pictures the porn tourism experience of the future is likely to involve more of the bodily senses.

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“…The next section explores the future, making explanatory claims about future technologies that may seem to be in the realms of science fiction but which can be contextualized by the definition and purpose of Bergman, Karlsson, and Axelsson (2010) …”

Section: The Future: How Technology Could Shape Play and Enhance Festmentioning

confidence: 99%

Technology, Society, and Visioning The Future of Music Festivals

Robertson¹,

Yeoman²,

Smith³

et al. 2015

Event Management

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Many music festivals fail because the experiences offered do not ensure relevance and meaning to the attendee. Engagement with new and virtual landscapes and with the enhanced sensory feelings and imaginations that technologies can offer may alleviate this. Utilizing a futures frame, this conceptual article contributes to the pursuit of successful future event design by applying a normative visionary methodology—employing trend analysis, scenarios, and science fiction to create prototypes that may assist in the formation of appropriate experience options and opportunities for music festivals of the future. It is proposed that this technique may aid positive social outcomes.

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Truth claims and explanatory claims—An ontological typology of futures studies

Cited by 62 publications

References 18 publications

Signals and Signposts of the Future: Literary Festival Consumption in 2050

Signals and Signposts of the Future: Literary Festival Consumption in 2050

Ping pong in Phuket: the intersections of tourism, porn and the future

Technology, Society, and Visioning The Future of Music Festivals

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