Turn down the heat: regional climate change impacts on development

Reyer, Christopher P. O.; Rigaud, Kanta Kumari; Fernandes, E. C. M.; Hare, William; Serdeczny, Olivia; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1187-4

Cited by 23 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa will bring high flooding with adverse effects on agriculture, sea level increases in coastal cities, public health, and food security [1]. Rising global temperature is expected to enhance the intensification of the hydrological cycle, resulting in severer dry seasons and wetter rainy seasons, and subsequently heightened risks of more frequent floods and drought [2].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

2017

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Sub-Saharan Africa is highly vulnerable to climate change given its low capacities of resilience to the enormous challenges climate change will pose. Research aimed at evaluating changes in hydrological trends and methods of adaptation was conducted in the Niger Basin parts of Benin at the peak of the rainy season in the year 2012. Rainfall and river discharge were analyzed from 1950-2010 in order to generate patterns of changes in the region. Structured questionnaires were used to evaluate the perceptions of 14 farming communities on climate-related issues and their methods of adaptations. Mann-Kendall and Pettit trend analyses were conducted for rainfall and river discharge. The findings indicated that significant decreases characterized rainfall and river discharge in the period of study. Flash flood was considered the major challenge faced in the region according to more than 90% of crop, animal, and fish farmers. Aside from that, decrease in water availability was identified as an additional challenge. Irrigation, diversification, water treatment, drainage, small dams, and dikes were reported as the common adaptation mechanisms in the catchments. This study will help in designing sustainable adaptation mechanisms to abrupt changes in the hydrology of the region.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

2017

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“…Given both the periods are long (70 yrs and 47 yrs respectively), this cannot be simply attributed to a shorter time-period length. variation 1970-2017vs 1901-1970. also help with understanding the implications of the rainfall changes at a granular scale in India.…”

Section: Normal Spatiotemporal Variation In Rainfallmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Both these points combined support the climate change hypothesis which proposed the increasing mean temperature shall adversely affect the rainfall in the North Indian Planes and the Peninsular part of India may get sparsely better rainfall characteristics. (The World Bank, 2012;Reyer et al, 2017).…”

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confidence: 99%

Changing Rainfall Patterns in India: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Trends & Impacts

Patel¹,

Khan

2020

Preprint

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The hydrological cycle that starts with rainfall has been under major threat from the global temperature rise and climatic changes. In India, rainfall changes not only jeopardize water security but also have a major set-back for socio-economic stability. There have been attempts to decode the changing rainfall patterns in India but most of them conducted at wider spatial resolution (such as national, state, or sub-divisional level) fail to capture the essence of spatial variation in rainfall characteristics. To get a clearer understanding of change in key rainfall parameters, this paper analyses more than 197 million 0.25˚ x 0.25˚ gridded rainfall data points. The fine resolution 117 years (1901-2017) of daily rainfall data is utilized to test significant spatiotemporal trends in the quantum of rainfall and other key rainfall parameters such as rainy days, monsoon onset and withdrawal dates, occurrences of extreme rainfall events, and frequency of drought and high rainfall years. With an emphasis on changing climatic patterns since perceived climate change onset in the 1970s, the study identifies the regions with significant changes in rainfall patterns by comparing key parameters pre- & post- 1970s. The paper also highlights the major repercussions and challenges for the identified regions with significant changing rainfall patterns.

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“…Although this agreement may seem ambitious, doing nothing could be catastrophic given that according to Reyer et al (2017) warming in 2016 has reached 1.1°C compared to preindustrial (1800-1900) average. Special Issue S2: "Global Warming and Climate Change: Part 1" https://doi.org/10.18639/MERJ.2018.04.670069…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Does Climate Change Have Real Negative Impact on Economic Growth in Poor Countries? Evidence from Cote d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast)

N’Zué¹

2018

Management and Economics Research Journal

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The objective of this paper is to determine the impact of climate change on Cote d’Ivoire’s economic performance via per capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth, change in agricultural value added, and change in the country’s cereal yield. The data ranged from 1960 to 2016. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is used to investigate the long run dynamics between climate variables (precipitation and temperature) and the country’s per capita GDP, agricultural value added as % of GDP, and cereal yield. We found that climate change has not significantly impacted the economic performance of the country. However, precipitation has been found to have positively and significantly influenced the country’s cereal yield and agricultural value added contribution to GDP at large, and thus there is no need to worry more than it is necessary.

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Turn down the heat: regional climate change impacts on development

Cited by 23 publications

References 25 publications

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

Changing Rainfall Patterns in India: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Trends & Impacts

Does Climate Change Have Real Negative Impact on Economic Growth in Poor Countries? Evidence from Cote d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast)

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Turn down the heat: regional climate change impacts on development

Cited by 23 publications

References 25 publications

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

Farmers’ Responses to Changing Hydrological Trends in the Niger Basin Parts of Benin

Changing Rainfall Patterns in India: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Trends &amp; Impacts

Does Climate Change Have Real Negative Impact on Economic Growth in Poor Countries? Evidence from Cote d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast)

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Changing Rainfall Patterns in India: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Trends & Impacts