Turnout Decline in Romanian National Elections: Is it that Big?

Comşa, Mircea

doi:10.1515/subbs-2015-0010

Cited by 5 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…Moreover, many post-Communist democracies are located near rich Western countries, and these Western democracies attracted a large number of immigrants from post-Communist countries during the post-Communist consolidation period. According to some estimates, East-West migration accounts for several percentage points of the post-Communist decline (Comşa 2015; Kostelka 2017). Future research could use this article as a departure point and include these factors in a comprehensive study of the post-Communist voting rates.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does Democratic Consolidation Lead to a Decline in Voter Turnout? Global Evidence Since 1939

Kostelka

2017

Am Polit Sci Rev

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This article challenges the conventional wisdom that democratic consolidation depresses voter turnout. Studying democratic legislative elections held worldwide between 1939 and 2015, it explains why voting rates in new democracies decrease when they do, how much they decrease, and how this phenomenon relates to the voter decline observed in established democracies. The article identifies three main sources of decline. The first and most important is the democratization context. When democratizations are opposition-driven or occur in electorally mobilized dictatorships, voter turnout is strongly boosted in the founding democratic elections. As time passes and the mobilizing democratization context loses salience, voting rates return to normal, which translates into turnout declines. The second source is the democratic consolidation context, which seems to depress voter turnout only in post-Communist democracies. Finally, new democracies mirror established democracies in that their voting rates have been declining since the 1970s, irrespective of the two previous mechanisms.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does Democratic Consolidation Lead to a Decline in Voter Turnout? Global Evidence Since 1939

Kostelka

2017

Am Polit Sci Rev

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“…Since the second democratic decade, Romania's have expatriates regularly denounced the insufficient capacity of polling stations abroad, resulting in hours of waiting and sometimes even preventing them from casting a vote. Moreover, Romania has also disjointed legislative and presidential elections, which used to be held simultaneously until 2004 (Comşa 2015). Given the high costs of external voting, this reform is particularly likely to depress external turnout in the less important election type.…”

Section: Voting Rights Of Emigrants and External Voting Provisions Inmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Kostadinova 2003;Pacek, Pop-Eleches andTucker 2009, see Kostelka 2014 for a dicussion). With the important exception of a study by Comşa (2015), who finds that emigration contributes to the decline in Romania, this factor has not been taken into account by the existing studies on post-communist voter turnout dynamics. This final section addresses the emigration question by fulfilling two tasks.…”

Section: Emigration External Voting and Voter Turnout Dynamics In Ceementioning

confidence: 99%

Distant souls: post-communist emigration and voter turnout

Kostelka

2016

Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies

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This article tackles the question of transnational electoral participation resulting from emigration. Drawing on several strands of political science literature, the theoretical section explains why emigration is likely to be detrimental to migrants' voting rates, which specific factors may affect these rates' variation and, overall, when and how emigration impacts nationwide voter turnout. The theory is then tested using original datasets on emigration, legal provisions for external voting and external voting rates in 10 Central and East European postcommunist democracies (CEE-10). The results confirm that external voting rates are much lower than domestic ones and reveal that their cross-national and overtime variation can be, to a large extent, explained by legal provisions for external voting and diaspora size. As a corollary of the weak transnational participation, emigration accounts for approximately one tenth of the fall in voter turnout that has occurred in the CEE-10 since the early 1990s. Note: This is a manuscript accepted for publication in Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies.

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“…Evolution of turnout rate in Romania. The turnout rate in Romania decreased constantly over the years (Comşa, 2015;Kostadinova, 2003). Figure 2 presents the turnout rate at the national level for the last seven parliamentary elections (1996-2020) while Fig.…”

Section: Institutional Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Keep the (social) distance! Turnout and risk perception during health crisis

Stancea,

Muntean

2024

Humanit Soc Sci Commun

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This article investigates the relationship between risk perception and electoral participation of citizens. To assess this, we use the case study of the novel coronavirus and its relationship with voter turnout during the 2020 Romanian elections. We assess the relationship between COVID-19 and citizens’ intention to cast a vote by employing an individual model. Additionally, using the share rate of the infected population with COVID-19, we examine the association between the intensity of the outbreak across counties and electoral participation. Either though our research is cross-sectional and focuses on covariation rather than causal relationships, provides insightful results. The individual model shows that the higher the risk perception of infection is, the lower the intention to cast a vote. The aggregated exploratory model employed shows that an increase in the percentage of the shared infected population decreases the chance of electoral participation.

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Turnout Decline in Romanian National Elections: Is it that Big?

Cited by 5 publications

References 39 publications

Does Democratic Consolidation Lead to a Decline in Voter Turnout? Global Evidence Since 1939

Does Democratic Consolidation Lead to a Decline in Voter Turnout? Global Evidence Since 1939

Distant souls: post-communist emigration and voter turnout

Keep the (social) distance! Turnout and risk perception during health crisis

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