Twardowski i przygodna przyszłość. Prawdopodobieństwo kontra Cienka Czerwona Linia

Abstract

KAZIMIERZ TWARDOWSKI AND FUTURE CONTINGENTS: PROBABILITY VS THE THIN RED LINE THEORYOne of the most widely discussed philosophical issues is the problem of future contingents. Basically, the challenge is to create an adequate semantic theory of future-tensed sentences. Twardowski (1900) suggests that future contingent statements should be analyzed using the concept of probability. The aim of this paper is to show that (1) such an analysis is not appropriate and (2) that Twardowski's main theses imply the Thin Red Line Theory. I discuss three potential arguments against my proposal and sketch the connection with Schaffer's Parallelism Thesis (2012).