Typhoon Early Warning and Monitoring Based on the Comprehensive Characteristics of Oceanic and Ionospheric Echoes from HFSWR: The Case of Typhoon Muifa

Abstract

As devastating natural disasters, typhoons pose a tremendous threat to human society, making effective typhoon early warning and monitoring crucial. To address this challenge, High Frequency Surface Wave Radar (HFSWR), which can observe oceanic parameters such as typhoon wind fields in real time and even capture the dynamic changes in the ionosphere, has become an effective tool for typhoon monitoring. This paper investigates the interaction mechanisms about Typhoon-Acoustic Gravity Waves (AGWs)-Ionosphere, as well as Typhoon-Ocean Waves for HFSWR, and simulates these interaction processes within HFSWR. Then a typhoon early warning and monitoring scheme for HFSWR has been proposed: In the first stage, the S-shaped ionospheric disturbances observed by HFSWR are utilized as precursor signals for early typhoon warnings. In addition, the second stage involves analyzing changes in first-order oceanic echo spectral peak ratio to pinpoint when the typhoon eye enters the radar detection range, thus initiating the typhoon monitoring phase. Subsequently, the measured data from HFSWR collected during Typhoon “Muifa” (2212) in conjunction with the proposed scheme are evaluated in detail. The results indicate that AGWs generated by typhoons can propagate into non-typhoon areas within the detection range, causing S- shaped ionospheric disturbances and providing approximately 6 h of early warning. At around 8:05 (UTC+8), an increasing trend in the first-order spectral peak ratio was noted, indicating the entry of the typhoon eye into the detection range, which closely aligns with the official typhoon path and marks the transition to the monitoring phase. The proposed scheme is expected to enhance the capability for typhoon early warning and real-time monitoring in specific sea areas and mitigate the risks associated with typhoon-related disasters.