Uluslararası Göçün Türkiye'nin İhracatına Etkileri: Genişletilmiş Çekim Modeli Uygulaması (2008-2016)

Abstract

For many years, Turkey has been a country of origin of, transit and destination for migrants. Also, Turkey is located at a crossroads between Europe, Asia and Africa in terms of international migration. On the other hand, the impact of international migration movements in the economic field increases every day. Migrants can affect foreign trade flows, primarily through the cost and preference channel. In this study, the impacts of international migration on exports from Turkey to The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries were examined within the gravity model framework. The study analyzed the effects of Turkish emigrants in OECD countries and of foreign immigrants from OECD countries in Turkey on Turkish exports. In this way, the research attempted to determine the type of migrant that affects Turkish exports. The "Migrant Stock" data, which is often used in migration studies, was used as a migration variable in the analysis conducted within the study. The panel data analysis findings based on the gravity model covering the period [2008][2009][2010][2011][2012][2013][2014][2015][2016] indicate that Turkish emigrants in the partner country do not affect Turkish exports in statistically significant level. The study results also show that foreign immigrants belonging to a partner country in Turkey positively affect Turkish exports.