Un retour d’expérience graphique sur la crise cyclonique de 2017 aux Antilles

Abstract

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Evolution of vulnerability to marine inundation in Caribbean islands of Saint-Martin and Saint-Barthélemy

“…After standardization by the area "desirable" for construction next to the sea as well as by the number of inhabitants, Saint-Barthelemy is not more virtuous than Saint-Martin (0.071 buildings/km 2 /inhabitants vs 0.018 buildings/km 2 /inhabitants, respectively). Notably, decision to 42 reduce vulnerability to marine inundation could take a long time, e.g., the high level of vulnerability of the region was highlighted by Hurricane Irma in 2017 [10,13,17,42,43].…”

“…These are considered as "stigmata", "scars" or "warts" that it would be preferable to make disappear. Owing to the frequent occurrence of hurricanes in the last decade, improving risk and crisis management is necessary in the French Caribbean islands to anticipate and mitigate the impacts of future events [17]. Notably, without anticipation and prediction, recovery from such disasters will only be focused on the speed of restoration [18].…”

A new approach for crisis management analysis: Considering the anticipation/decision making pair as a continuum

“…33It should be noted that we provide in this paper a general vision of the anticipation/decision‐making pair, exemplified with the case of the 2017 hurricane sequence in the Lesser Antilles. A more detailed account of how the crisis unfolded can be found in French in the papers of Canovas and Chevillot‐Miot (2021), Canovas et al (2019), and Chevillot–Miot et al (2020). The final results of the APRIL project and postcrisis analysis will be the focus of another paper.…”