Unburdening regulation: The impact of regulatory simplification on photovoltaic adoption in Italy

Daniele, Federica; Pasquini, Annalisa; Clò, Stefano; Maltese, Enza

doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106844

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

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“…In this paper, we focused on the market growth of solar PV in Italy, and-through a carefully selected modeling approach that is motivated by this increasing importance of solar energy in the energy transition process-we also tried to capture the effect of both public incentives and the behavior of the final adopters. The Italian case has been the object of some relevant research contributions, namely [15][16][17]. In [15], the authors found that there were two phases in the development of the PV market in Italy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the first phase, large power generators had the role of "market followers" as they showed a substantial absence of industrial leadership, whereas, in the second phase, large utility companies became leaders in the PV market. In [16], the impact of regulatory simplification was found to have a positive effect on the increase of installed capacities in medium-to-large plants. In [17], several factors were found to be speeding up the installation process, such as improvements in PV technology with declining prices, the increased availability of battery storage systems, the growing use of electric appliances, the uptake of electric cars, and increased environmental awareness.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Diffusion of Solar PV Energy in Italy: Can Large-Scale PV Installations Trigger the Next Growth Phase?

Bessi,

Guidolin,

Manfredi

2024

Energies

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The National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of the EU Member States have established comprehensive goals for 2030 to speed up the process of energy transition. Though Italy was an innovator in the area of photovoltaics (PV) up until 2014, the subsequent collapse and stagnation of its PV market have revealed an intrinsic fragility, which makes reaching international targets in the future unclear. This study used the Generalized Bass Model in a multi-phase extension to offer insights into and perspectives on the Italian PV market with the use of new data at finer temporal and market-size scales. Our model-based evidence suggests the possibility of a remarkable structural change corresponding to the “reboot” period after the pandemic crisis. In this period, small- and large-scale PV adoption, after years of parallel pathways, have taken largely different routes. On the one hand, small-scale adoption exhibited a fast decline with the end of the post-COVID-19 incentive programs, thus confirming the traditional “addiction to incentive” issue. On the other hand, during the “reboot” period, large-scale installations showed, for the first time, symptoms of exponential growth. This is consistent with the possibility that, finally, this sector is on an autonomous growth path. The latter evidence might represent a critically important novelty in the Italian PV landscape, where firms—rather than households—take the lead in the process. Nonetheless, future public monitoring and guidance are both urgent requirements to avoid a further catastrophic fall in the residential PV market and to make the sustained growth of the large-scale PV industry a robust phenomenon.

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