Uncertainty Analysis of Geothermal Development Projects Using Exploratory System Dynamics Modelling and Analysis Method

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze uncertainty factors to provide knowledge and information regarding significant obstacles in developing geothermal energy in Indonesia. To achieve this, Exploratory System Dynamics Modelling and Analysis method was adopted. The results showed that four uncertainty factors have significant influence on the achievement of geothermal development in terms of total installed capacity, total revenue, and profit. Delay due to bureaucracy, social acceptance, exploration duration, and exploration permit processing time had 68% influence on total installed capacity and profit. Meanwhile, electricity price had 44% impact on total revenue. In conclusion, focus should be given to policy interventions such as streamlining bureaucratic processes, reducing delays, and shortening processing times, to enhance installed capacity and profit growth in the future.

Optimizing The Role Of Technologi In Improving The Quality Of Life Of Village Communities Using Anp Method

“…Technological development have great potential to influence the quality of life of people at various levels, including rural commonities. [1] The use of technology , if optimezel well, can have a significant positive impact in improving the walfare an daily live of rural communities, [2] but the use of technology is effective in the rural context. Requires a deep understanding of thr preferences, priorities and implications of the technological solutions implemented.…”