2014
DOI: 10.17747/2078-8886-2011-3-46-61
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Uncertainty, Changeability and Inconsistency in Tasks of Analyzing Risks of Economic System Behavior

Abstract: ключевые слова Неопределенность, изменчивость и противоречивостьМногие допущения о неопределенности, которые принимает руководитель, относятся к условиям в будущем, и он практически не способен контролировать их. Однако такого рода допущения необходимы для многих операций планирования развития системы (прежде всего стратегического), как на уровне общего менеджмента, так и на уровне управления рисками. Чем лучше руководитель сможет предсказать внешние и внутренние условия применительно к будущему, тем выше шанс… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Uncertainty is a characteristic of the complexity and instability of the market, which is a factor in choosing a variety of development paths, but not a feature of development. With this amendment, it is possible to formulate the theorem "The ratio of the limits of uncertainty and risk of a complex economic system" (Avdiyskiy and Bezdenezhnykh, 2011;, based on the following provisions describing the developing socio-economic system:…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Uncertainty is a characteristic of the complexity and instability of the market, which is a factor in choosing a variety of development paths, but not a feature of development. With this amendment, it is possible to formulate the theorem "The ratio of the limits of uncertainty and risk of a complex economic system" (Avdiyskiy and Bezdenezhnykh, 2011;, based on the following provisions describing the developing socio-economic system:…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Strategy 2020 is believed to become the reference model for subsequent conceptual projects and solutions, and its focus is on steady regional socio-economic improvement which should be harmonized at the domestic level and which is aimed at achieving positive changes in the living standards of the population and at both reproducing and developing the social, economic, resource and ecological potential of the regions. Strategy 2020 gives grounds for the methods of developing regional systems by creating favorable conditions to unlock the development potential of each region undertaking the following steps: -to overcome infrastructural and institutional constraints; -to adjust the economies of the regions to socioeconomic changes; -to assist with the development of human potential; -to improve the coordination of the activities of the public and local authorities, businesses and social structures 1) .…”
Section: Materials and Methods (Model)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The interaction of control and supervisory services and structures (CSS) in the process of managing the development of the socio-economic system (SES), which can include enterprises and organizations from the micro to macro level, is considered as a complex independent system process. The number of such services, depending on the regulated SES itself, can vary from 12-15 to 50 or more [1,2]. Their administrative subordination may also be inconsistent, which creates a conflict of interests between these services when solving the problem of improving the efficiency of their interaction.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%