Underestimated relationship between westerly wind bursts and ENSO in CMIP6 models

Wang, Mingjie; Yuan, Chaoxia; Liu, Jingchan; Wei, Yihua; Wu, Jiye; Luo, Jing–Jia

doi:10.1016/j.aosl.2023.100336

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

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“…This condition suggests that future warming could influence the winter wind speed changes. While [44] found that the most CMIP6 models have a weak performance for the air-sea coupling in the tropical pacific, this result also suggests that MMM air-sea coupling is sufficient in the ES region. Meanwhile, the increasing wind speeds in the EAMS during the summer El Niño (Figure 6b) coexist with the high positive anomalous SST during SSP2-4.5 (Figure 7b).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 81%

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Near-Future Projection of Sea Surface Winds in Northwest Pacific Ocean Based on a CMIP6 Multi-Model Ensemble

Bayhaqi,

Yoo,

Jang

et al. 2024

Atmosphere

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Information about wind variations and future wind conditions is essential for a monsoon domain such as the Northwest Pacific (NWP) region. This study utilizes 10 Generalized Circulation Models (GCM) from CMIP6 to evaluate near-future wind changes in the NWP under various climate warming scenarios. Evaluation against the ERA5 reanalysis dataset for the historical period 1985–2014 reveals a relatively small error with an average of no more than 1 m/s, particularly in the East Asian Marginal Seas (EAMS). Future projections (2026–2050) indicate intensified winds, with a 5–8% increase in the summer season in the EAMS, such as the Yellow Sea, East Sea, and East China Sea, while slight decreases are observed in the winter period. Climate mode influences show that winter El Niño tends to decrease wind speeds in the southern study domain, while intensifying winds are observed in the northern part, particularly under SSP5-8.5. Conversely, summer El Niño induces higher positive anomalous wind speeds in the EAMS, observed in SSP2-4.5. These conditions are likely linked to El Niño-induced SST anomalies. For the application of CMIP6 surface winds, the findings are essential for further investigations focusing on the oceanic consequences of anticipated wind changes such as the ocean wave climate, which can be studied through model simulations.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 81%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 81%