2017
DOI: 10.1177/1946756717748356
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Understanding Disruption through Molitor’s Models

Abstract: The work of futurist Graham Molitor presents examples of previously used methodologies to identify disruption and cumulative patterns of change. He offers foresight professionals a time-tested model to develop long-range futures.

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“…This S-curve concept helps us identify issues with similar growth patterns by fitting the curve. The S-curve is useful in helping us understand that disruption and reordering are cyclical [11]. It is also being applied to trend projections and technology forecasting (see [12][13][14]).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This S-curve concept helps us identify issues with similar growth patterns by fitting the curve. The S-curve is useful in helping us understand that disruption and reordering are cyclical [11]. It is also being applied to trend projections and technology forecasting (see [12][13][14]).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%