2022
DOI: 10.3389/fbuil.2022.908698
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Understanding land take in small and medium-sized cities through scenarios of shrinkage and growth using autoregressive models

Abstract: Rapid transitions induced by migration flows and socio-economic developments brought about massive changes in urbanization processes and resulted in increasingly uncertain futures. The implications and complexities of the ensuing urbanization patterns are difficult to predict and project into the future. While most studies are focused on large cities and major urban centers, urbanization processes in small and medium-sized cities have garnered little scholarly and political attention. To understand future urba… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Specifically, it includes simultaneously measuring and assessing urban growth and shrinkage, comprehensively analyzing the driving mechanisms of growth and shrinkage from a systemic perspective, and predicting future scenarios of urban growth and shrinkage, as well as potential challenges and opportunities based on current trends and possible influencing factors. It is encouraging that there is an increasing amount of research simultaneously measuring urban growth and shrinkage [86,87]. Moreover, with the advancement in artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies, it has become increasingly possible to more accurately predict various trends and scenarios for the future of cities [88][89][90].…”
Section: Implications and Future Directionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Specifically, it includes simultaneously measuring and assessing urban growth and shrinkage, comprehensively analyzing the driving mechanisms of growth and shrinkage from a systemic perspective, and predicting future scenarios of urban growth and shrinkage, as well as potential challenges and opportunities based on current trends and possible influencing factors. It is encouraging that there is an increasing amount of research simultaneously measuring urban growth and shrinkage [86,87]. Moreover, with the advancement in artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies, it has become increasingly possible to more accurately predict various trends and scenarios for the future of cities [88][89][90].…”
Section: Implications and Future Directionsmentioning
confidence: 99%