Understanding the dependence of mean precipitation on convective treatment in tropical aquachannel experiments

Abstract

Abstract. The intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is a key circulation and precipitation feature in the tropics. There has been a large spread in the representation of the ITCZ in global weather and climate models for a long time, the reasons for which remain unclear. This manuscript presents a novel approach with which we disentangle different physical processes responsible for the changeable behavior of the ITCZ in numerical models. The diagnostic tool is based on a conceptual framework developed by Emanuel (2019) and allows for physically consistent estimates of convective mass flux and precipitation efficiency for simulations with explicit and parameterized convection. We apply our diagnostics to a set of tropical aquachannel experiments using the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) model with horizontal grid resolution of 13 km and with various representations of deep and shallow convection. The channel length corresponds to the Earth's circumference and has rigid walls at 30° N/S. Zonally symmetric sea surface temperatures are prescribed. All four runs share overall similar rainfall patterns and dynamical structures. They simulate an ITCZ at the equator coinciding with the ascending branch of the Hadley circulation, descending branches at 15° N/S with subtropical jets and easterly trade wind belts straddling the ITCZ. Differences are largest between runs with and without parameterized deep convection. With explicit deep convection, rainfall in the ITCZ increases by 35 % and the Hadley circulation as well as surface winds become stronger. Our diagnostic framework reveals that boundary-layer quasi-equilibrium is a key to physically understanding those differences. The stronger surface horizontal winds with explicit deep convection essentially enhance surface enthalpy fluxes and thus perturb quasi-equilibrium in the boundary layer. This is balanced by increasing convective downdraft mass flux that carries low moist static energy from the lower troposphere into the boundary layer. The downdraft strength is proportional to convective updraft mass flux, which is closely linked to rainfall, since – somewhat surprisingly – the convective treatment does not appear to influence precipitation efficiency significantly. Changes in radiative cooling are largely compensated by changes in dry stability, leading to little impact on rainfall. The results highlight the utility of our diagnostics to pinpoint processes important for rainfall differences between models, suggesting applicability for global climate model intercomparison projects.

Tropical Cyclones and Equatorial Waves in a Convection-Permitting Aquaplanet Simulation with Off-Equatorial SST Maximum

“…A recent model intercomparison showcased the ability of nine global models to produce 40-day hindcasts with convection-permitting resolution everywhere (Stevens et al, 2019). Those hindcasts improve the realism of modeled atmospheric phenomena in global models including TCs and equatorial waves (Stevens et al, 2019;Jung & Knippertz, 2023); however, comparisons amongst the models reveal substantial intermodel spread, including different TC intensity distributions and different TC structures . Such spread implies that convection-permitting resolution alone will not solve many of the underlying deficiencies of global models.…”